Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-182) Miami (+150)

The Miami Marlins (65-75) are welcoming the Philadelphia Phillies (80-59) at loanDepot park on Friday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -182 while Miami opens at +150. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Cristopher Sanchez and Valente Bellozo.

Philadelphia is slugging .424 and have struck out 1,120 times, while taking a walk on 455 occasions. They have accumulated 638 runs batted in in addition to 1,220 base knocks on the campaign, and their batting average sits at .258. The Phillies have accounted for 228 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 172 baseballs out of the stadium. They have tallied 663 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .328. As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are putting up 4.8 runs per game, which ranks them 10th in the league.

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The Phillies have compiled a team ERA of 3.85 over the course of the season (7th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,271 hitters. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 149 home runs in addition to 565 runs in total (5th in the league). They have walked 379 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.68 as a team this season. Philadelphia has yielded 1,156 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 528 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.35 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.24.

The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 62.3% and stepped onto the hill in 131 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 136 base runners on the season and 33.8% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 93 times in addition to having 151 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have sent 435 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have earned 67 holds on the season (23rd in MLB). They have earned 38 saves this year and have missed out on 23 of their 61 chances to get a save.

The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,700 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,187 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .989 which ranks 3rd in the majors, and they have turned 90 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 11,100 innings, which ranks them 25th in MLB.

Sanchez has thrown 502 frames and is sitting with 478 punch outs so far in his career. Sanchez (28-21 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.30 and he has gone up against 2,075 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.35 (187 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.191. He has surrendered 473 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 125 free passes.

The Miami Marlins have compiled an on-base percentage of .314 as well as a team batting average of .250 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 1,104 occasions (25th in the league) and have recorded 1,194 base hits. Miami has hit 132 home runs for the season as well as 575 runs batted in. The Marlins have a SLG% of .392 and they earn 4.33 runs per game (18th in MLB). They have put up 232 two-baggers, while taking a walk 420 times and putting up 606 runs.

The Miami pitching staff have surrendered 699 runs over the course of the season and come in with a team ERA of 4.70 (648 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 164 home runs and they relinquish 5.07 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league). The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.310 in addition to having a FIP of 4.30 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.00 (1,103 strikeouts against 439 free passes). They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,186.

Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% of 157 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 147 times in high leverage situations and also on 108 occasions with runners on. With 128 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 73 holds and also 20 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in MLB with a save rate of 63.0%, and they have dispatched 434 relief pitchers to the mound this season. Miami has had relief pitchers enter the game in 54 save opportunities and they have tallied 34 saves.

In 11,163 innings on the field, the Marlins have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in professional baseball). The Miami Marlins have gotten 93 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in the majors). The Marlins have racked up 1,194 assists, 72 errors and have earned a total of 3,721 putouts on the season.

During his career, Bellozo has surrendered 139 hits while earning 93 punch outs in 141 innings pitched. He has allowed 60 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.294 and a FIP of 3.8. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.11 and he has faced 605 opposing batters thus far in his career. Bellozo (4-7 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.82 earned run average while giving up 8.8 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+150)

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