Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 9/7/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Miami Marlins

Date: Sunday, September 7, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) Miami (+125)

The Philadelphia Phillies (81-59) are en route to loanDepot park on Sunday where they will play the Miami Marlins (65-75). The moneyline on this matchup has Philadelphia at -150 while Miami is coming in at +125. The total is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Taijuan Walker and Adam Mazur.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.8 runs per game, which is 10th in the league. They have accounted for 665 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .327. The Phillies have accumulated 231 doubles as a squad and have smacked 172 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 640 RBI's as well as 1,226 base knocks this season, while their average at the plate is at .257. Philadelphia has a slugging percentage of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,133 times, while taking a walk on 459 occasions.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.35 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have relinquished 149 home runs and 565 total runs (5th in baseball). Philadelphia has relinquished 1,163 base hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 528 earned runs. The Phillies have compiled a team earned run average of 3.83 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,278 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 381 opposing players and their FIP is 3.68 as a squad this year.

The Phillies relievers have a save percentage of 62.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 134 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 136 runners on the campaign and 33.8% of those runners ended up scoring. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with players on base 93 times and also have had 154 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 438 relievers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have recorded 69 holds on the season (23rd in the league). They have compiled 39 saves for the year and have blown 23 of their 62 chances to get a save.

The Phillies have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,181 innings on the field, which ranks them 25th in professional baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have 3,727 putouts thus far, in addition to 1,200 assists and 53 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .989 which has them sitting 3rd in the majors, and they have turned 91 double plays.

Walker (76-70 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.11 while he has faced 5,340 batters in the major leagues. He has given up 1,189 hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) with 426 walks. His earned run average is 4.17 (584 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.282. Walker has pitched in 1,259 frames and has tallied 1,077 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career.

Miami has 132 HRs over the course of the season to go along with 575 runs batted in. They have 232 doubles, while getting a free base 420 times and putting up 606 runs. The Miami Marlins have compiled an OBP of .314 and a batting average of .250 on the season. The Marlins hold a team slugging % of .392 and they score 4.33 runs per game (18th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 1,104 occasions (25th in the league) and have totaled 1,194 base knocks.

The Marlins hold a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 4.30 as a staff this season. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,186. The Miami pitching staff have given up 699 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 4.70 (648 earned runs relinquished). Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 8.00 (1,103 strikeouts against 439 walks). They have relinquished 164 long balls and they give up 5.07 runs per 9 innings (27th in baseball).

Miami relievers hold an inherited score rate of 32.5% out of 157 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 147 times in high leverage situations in addition to 108 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 128 save situations, the Marlins have 73 holds in addition to 20 blown saves. They are ranked 12th in the league holding a save rate of 63.0%, and they have dispatched 434 relievers to the hill on the year. Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 54 save chances and they have earned 34 saves.

Out of their 11,163 innings on the diamond, the Marlins hold a defensive efficiency of 69.9% (14th in pro baseball). The Miami Marlins have turned 93 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (17th in the majors). The Marlins have recorded 1,194 assists, 72 errors and have accumulated 3,721 putouts so far this year.

In his career, Mazur has surrendered 59 hits while tallying 34 punch outs in 48 frames. He has given up a total of 38 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.756 and a FIP of 7.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 1.31 and he has gone up against 232 batters during his pro baseball career. Mazur (1-5 career record) has a 7.07 ERA and has given up 11.0 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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