Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers Prediction, 9/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Milwaukee Brewers

Date: Thursday, September 4, 2025

Location: American Family Field in Milwaukee, WI

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Wisconsin

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (+102) Milwaukee (-122)

American Family Field is the site where the Milwaukee Brewers (85-54) will attempt to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (80-58) on Thursday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Phillies at +102 and the Brewers are sitting at -122. The total is 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Ranger Suarez and Freddy Peralta.

Philadelphia has a slugging % of .424 and have been called out on strikes 1,111 times, while taking a walk on 451 occasions. They have tallied 635 runs batted in as well as 1,211 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .258. The Phillies have recorded 228 doubles as a team and have hit 171 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 660 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are scoring 4.8 runs per outing, which has them at 10th in the league.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 3.37 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.24. Phillies pitchers have conceded 148 home runs and also 559 total runs (5th in the league). Philadelphia has allowed 1,150 base knocks (8.4 per 9 innings) and 522 earned runs. The Phillies have an ERA of 3.83 on the campaign (7th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 1,263 batters. They have walked 375 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.67 as a unit so far this season.

The Phillies have sent 432 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 136 base runners this year and 33.8% of those players crossed home plate. They have accumulated 38 saves on the year and have blown 23 of 61 save opportunities. The Phillies relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 62.3% and have entered the game in 131 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 67 holds for the year (23rd in baseball). Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 93 times as well as having 151 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Philadelphia Phillies have notched a total of 3,676 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,181 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding rate is at .990 which has them sitting 3rd in professional baseball, and they have turned 88 double plays. The Phillies have turned 68.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 11,028 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 25th in professional baseball.

Suarez (51-35 mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.30 while he has faced 3,083 opposing hitters during his time in the majors. He has conceded 697 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 232 walks. His ERA is 3.35 (274 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.264. Suarez has taken the ball for 735 frames and has accounted for 678 K's in his career.

The Brewers hold a team slugging % of .409 and they are recording 5.12 runs per game (3rd in baseball). They have recorded 226 doubles, while taking a walk 480 times as well as scoring 711 runs. Milwaukee is sitting with 151 long balls so far this year and 662 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,087 instances (26th in baseball) and have earned 1,227 hits. The Milwaukee Brewers have tallied an on-base percentage of .333 and a team batting average of .259 on the season.

The Brewers are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.238 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.96 as a pitching staff for the year. They rank 4th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,074. The Milwaukee pitching staff have relinquished 550 runs for the year while holding a team ERA of 3.65 (502 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio is 8.80 (1,212 strikeouts against 458 bases on balls). They have given up 147 homers and they concede 4.00 runs per 9 innings (4th in the league).

Milwaukee has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 58 save chances and they have tallied 39 saves. They rank 6th in the league holding a save percentage of 67.2%, and they have sent 472 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 164 times in high leverage situations and also on 125 occasions with runners on base. Milwaukee bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.5% of 187 inherited base runners. With 157 save situations, the Brewers have accumulated 95 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The Milwaukee Brewers have turned 101 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in pro baseball). The Brewers have recorded 1,106 assists, 63 errors and are sitting with 3,713 putouts so far this season. Out of their 11,139 innings on the field, the Brewers have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.9% (5th in professional baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Peralta has conceded 677 base hits while earning 1,117 K's in 907 frames. Peralta (69-41 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.59 ERA while giving up 6.7 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 362 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.134 and having a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.17 and he has faced 3,759 batters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Milwaukee (-122)

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