Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Tuesday, August 26, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-150) New York (+125)

Citi Field is the location where the New York Mets (69-61) will try to defeat the Philadelphia Phillies (76-54) on Tuesday. The moneyline on this contest has the Phillies at -150 and the Mets are coming in at +125. The over/under is set at 8. The starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Sean Manaea.

Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .423 and have been called out on strikes 1,041 times, while being walked on 427 occasions. They have accounted for 592 RBI's in addition to 1,138 hits on the year, and their batting average sits at .257. The Phillies have tallied 217 doubles as a team and have knocked 160 baseballs out of the park. They have 617 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .327. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.8 runs/g, which has them at 9th in baseball.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.46 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have given up 142 home runs and also 516 runs in total (5th in the league). Philadelphia has conceded 1,069 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) and 481 earned runs. The Phillies have a team ERA of 3.75 this year (7th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,199 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 347 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.64 as a team on the season.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 87 times as well as having 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 65 holds for the season (23rd in the league). The Phillies relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 123 save situations. They have 36 saves so far this season and have not converted 20 out of their 56 chances to save the game. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 127 runners for the season and 31.5% of them crossed the plate. The Phillies have sent 402 relievers to the hill so far this season.

The Phillies have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,398 innings on the field, which ranks them 23rd in pro baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have earned 3,466 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,113 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .990 which puts them in 3rd in professional baseball, and have earned 80 double plays.

Luzardo has pitched in 657 innings and is sitting with 729 K's during his career. His earned run average is 4.25 (310 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.263. He has given up 602 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has had 228 walks. Luzardo (38-40 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 4.18 and he has faced 2,755 opposing batters in the major leagues.

The Mets hold a team slugging percentage of .423 and they average 4.56 runs per contest (10th in baseball). They have 211 two-baggers, while taking a walk 454 times as well as earning 593 runs. New York has compiled 175 HRs so far this year to go along with 578 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,040 occasions (21st in MLB) and have 1,072 base hits. The New York Mets have earned a team OBP of .324 and a batting average of .246 on the campaign.

The Mets have a team WHIP of 1.312 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a staff over the course of the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (1,113 strikeouts vs 462 free passes). They are sitting at 9th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,048. They have relinquished 118 dingers and they relinquish 4.27 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 546 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.82 (489 earned runs allowed).

New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 58 save chances and they have converted 36 saves. They are ranked 18th in baseball with a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 423 relievers to the mound so far this season. Their relief pitchers have come in 158 times in high leverage situations and on 138 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.1% of 205 inherited base runners. With 138 save situations, the Mets have earned 80 holds and also 22 blown saves.

The New York Mets have turned 96 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in MLB). The Mets have racked up 1,174 assists, 60 errors and have 3,453 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 10,359 innings on the diamond, the Mets have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.5% (19th in the majors).

So far in his MLB career, Manaea has allowed 1,121 hits while totaling 1,154 strikeouts in 1,220 innings. Manaea (78-64 career mark) has a 4.04 earned run average while giving up 8.3 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 548 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.200 and having a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.36 and he has faced 5,092 opposing batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-150)

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