Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets Prediction, 8/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Mets

Date: Wednesday, August 27, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-182) New York (+150)

The New York Mets (70-61) are welcoming the Philadelphia Phillies (76-55) at Citi Field on Wednesday. The moneyline on this contest has Philadelphia at -182 and New York is at +150. The total is 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taijuan Walker and Clay Holmes.

The Phillies have earned 218 doubles as a team and have knocked 160 baseballs out of the park. Philadelphia owns a slugging percentage of .422 and have struck out 1,047 times, while drawing a walk on 431 occasions. As a unit, the Philadelphia Phillies are earning 4.7 runs per outing, which is 9th in MLB. They have accumulated 595 RBI's in addition to 1,144 hits on the season, and their batting average is sitting at .257. They have earned a total of 620 runs while holding a team OBP of .327.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.42 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.23. Phillies pitchers have surrendered 143 long balls and also 529 runs in total (6th in MLB). Philadelphia has yielded 1,083 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) in addition to 493 earned runs. The Phillies hold a team earned run average of 3.81 on the year (10th in MLB), and they have struck out 1,207 hitters. They have walked 353 batters and their FIP sits at 3.66 as a team on the season.

Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 88 times and also have had 134 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have earned 65 holds on the season (23rd in the league). The Phillies relievers have recorded a save percentage of 64.3% and have entered the game in 123 save situations. They have earned 36 saves this year and have missed out on 20 out of their 56 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 128 base runners for the year and 32.0% of them earned a run for their team. The Phillies have sent 405 relievers to the mound on the year.

The Phillies have converted 69.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,470 innings on the field, which ranks them 24th in baseball. The Philadelphia Phillies have 3,490 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,121 assists and 50 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .989 which has them ranked 3rd in pro baseball, and they have turned 81 double plays.

Walker has taken the mound for 1,250 frames and has earned 1,072 strikeouts in his career. His ERA is 4.14 (575 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.276. He has surrendered 1,172 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 423 free passes. Walker (76-69 record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.08 and he has faced 5,295 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has a total of 176 home runs so far this year and 591 RBIs. They have hit 215 doubles, while taking a walk 460 times as well as earning 606 runs. The New York Mets have accumulated a team on-base percentage of .325 and a team batting average of .247 on the campaign. The Mets have a team SLG% of .424 and they average 4.63 runs per outing (10th in MLB). They have been rung up on 1,048 occasions (20th in the league) and have tallied 1,086 hits.

The Mets are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.310 and have a FIP of 3.88 as a unit so far this year. They have a ranking of 11th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,054. The New York pitching staff have surrendered 549 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.82 (492 earned runs surrendered). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (1,119 strikeouts vs 466 free passes). They have surrendered 118 long balls and they surrender 4.26 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

With 140 save situations, the Mets have 82 holds and also 22 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to step onto the hill in 58 save opportunities and they have tallied 36 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 159 times in high leverage situations in addition to 139 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.0% of 206 inherited base runners. They are currently ranked 19th in MLB holding a save rate of 62.1%, and they have sent 428 relievers to the hill this season.

In 10,440 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 69.6% (19th in the majors). The New York Mets have turned 97 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (9th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 1,181 assists, 60 errors and have notched a total of 3,480 putouts so far this season.

Holmes (35-28 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.68 ERA while allowing 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.25 and he has gone up against 2,045 hitters in his career. He has surrendered a total of 194 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.307 and a FIP of 3.6. So far in his MLB career, Holmes has surrendered 412 base hits while totaling 469 strikeouts in 474 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-182)

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