Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/25/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, July 25, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-144) New York (+120)

The Philadelphia Phillies (58-44) are headed to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will compete against the New York Yankees (56-46). The odds on this game have the Phillies at -144 and the Yankees are opening at +120. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start are Taijuan Walker and Will Warren.

The Phillies have hit 161 doubles as a squad and have hit 115 balls out of the stadium. Philadelphia has a slugging rate of .408 and have been called out on strikes 809 times, while taking a walk on 349 occasions. As a squad, the Philadelphia Phillies are notching 4.6 runs per game, which puts them at 11th in the league. They have 446 runs batted in in addition to 880 hits this year, and their batting average is .254. They have earned 469 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .327.

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The Phillies are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.71 over the course of the season (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 952 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 106 home runs and 406 total runs (7th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 297 opposing hitters and their FIP is 3.60 as a unit on the year. Philadelphia has given up 843 base hits (8.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 375 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Phillies bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 61.4% and have come into the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 96 runners this season and 33.3% of them earned a run for their team. Phillies relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 67 times as well as having 110 appearances in high leverage situations. The Phillies have dispatched 316 relief pitchers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have tallied 45 holds on the year (24th in MLB). They have recorded 27 saves so far this season and have not converted 17 of 44 save chances.

The Phillies have converted 68.8% of balls in play into outs in their 8,193 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 24th in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have 2,731 putouts on the year, as well as 882 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which is 3rd in MLB, and have earned 71 double plays.

Walker has taken the mound for 1,216 innings and has earned 1,055 K's so far in his career. Walker (75-68 win-loss mark in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 4.11 and he has faced 5,158 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.17 (564 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.280. He has given up 1,140 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has had 417 free passes.

The Yankees hold a slugging % of .454 and they tally 5.20 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have put up 179 two-baggers, while taking a walk 390 times as well as earning 530 runs. New York has recorded 163 home runs so far this year to go along with 509 runs batted in. They have struck out on 890 occasions (8th in the league) and have accounted for 880 hits. The New York Yankees have recorded a team on-base percentage of .333 and a batting average of .254 for the year.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.233 with a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff for the season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (896 strikeouts against 345 walks). They sit at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 765. They have allowed 110 homers and they concede 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 424 runs on the season while having a team ERA of 3.89 (389 earned runs surrendered).

Sitting with 95 save situations, the Yankees have earned 56 holds and also 11 blown saves. New York has called on relievers to take the mound in 38 save chances and they have earned 27 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 96 times in high leverage situations and also on 110 occasions with runners on base. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 25.9% out of 166 inherited base runners. They are ranked 3rd in the league with a save rate of 71.1%, and they have dispatched 335 relievers onto the field this season.

Out of their 8,106 innings played, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (5th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 65 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in MLB). The Yankees have racked up 864 assists, 52 errors and have a total of 2,702 putouts over the course of the season.

Warren (6-8 mark in his career) is the owner of a 5.94 earned run average and has surrendered 9.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.56 and he has gone up against 548 opposing hitters in his MLB career. He has conceded a total of 80 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.535 and a FIP of 5.9. In his pro baseball career, Warren has allowed 129 base knocks while he has tallied 146 punch outs in 121 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-144)

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