Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers Prediction, 8/9/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Philadelphia Phillies vs Texas Rangers

Date: Saturday, August 9, 2025

Location: Globe Life Field in Arlington, TX

TV: Rangers Sports Network

Odds/Point Spread: Philadelphia (-145) Texas (+125)

The Texas Rangers (60-56) are hosting the Philadelphia Phillies (65-49) at Globe Life Field on Saturday. The odds on this game have Philadelphia at -145 and Texas is at +125. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Jesus Luzardo and Jacob deGrom.

As a team, the Philadelphia Phillies are compiling 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 9th in the league. They have a total of 535 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .326. The Phillies have earned 184 doubles as a team and have hit 137 balls out of the stadium. They have earned 512 runs batted in and 988 hits this season, and their batting average comes in at .255. Philadelphia is slugging .417 and have struck out 922 times, while drawing a walk on 381 occasions.

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The Phillies have an ERA of 3.76 for the year (9th in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,044 batters. Phillies pitchers have conceded 127 home runs and 456 total runs (6th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 312 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 3.71 as a team for the season. Philadelphia has allowed 943 hits (8.4 per 9 innings) as well as 424 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 3.35 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

Phillies pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 74 times in addition to having 114 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have racked up 48 holds this year (26th in the league). The Phillies relievers have recorded a save rate of 63.0% and have entered the game in 95 save situations. They have tallied 29 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 17 of their 46 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 106 runners so far this year and 32.1% of those players ended up scoring. The Phillies have dispatched 349 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year.

The Phillies have converted 69.2% of baseballs in play into outs out of 9,138 innings, which has them ranked 21st in MLB. The Philadelphia Phillies have amassed 3,046 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 987 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .990 which ranks 3rd in baseball, and have a total of 75 double plays.

Luzardo has taken the hill for 639 innings and has accumulated 706 K's thus far in his career. His earned run average is 4.30 (305 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.271. He has conceded 588 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 224 free passes. Luzardo (36-39 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 4.23 and he has faced 2,686 hitters in the majors.

Texas has accounted for 121 long balls so far this season to go along with 455 RBIs. They have put up 173 doubles, while walking 348 times and putting up 477 runs. The Texas Rangers hold a team OBP of .301 in addition to a batting average of .232 so far this season. The Rangers hold a team slugging % of .377 and they have an average of 4.11 runs per outing (25th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 969 occasions (15th in baseball) and have notched a total of 898 base hits.

The Rangers have a WHIP of 1.164 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a pitching staff this season. They sit at 2nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 858. The Texas pitching staff have surrendered 407 runs over the course of the season while having a team ERA of 3.23 (370 earned runs relinquished). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.30 (948 strikeouts vs 342 bases on balls). They have surrendered 108 home runs and they give up 3.55 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league).

Texas relievers have an inherited score percentage of 32.1% out of their 168 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 135 times in high leverage situations and also on 119 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 116 save situations, the Rangers have earned 63 holds and 21 blown saves. They sit at 23rd in baseball holding a save rate of 58.0%, and they have sent 361 bullpen pitchers onto the field so far this season. Texas has called on relievers to take the mound in 50 save opportunities and they have walked away with 29 saves.

In their 9,282 innings on the diamond, the Rangers hold a defensive efficiency of 72.3% (1st in the majors). The Texas Rangers have turned 92 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .991 (1st in baseball). The Rangers have accrued 1,004 assists, 38 errors and have accumulated 3,094 putouts on the season.

During his MLB career, deGrom has given up 1,143 base knocks while totaling 1,801 K's in 1,495 innings. deGrom (94-61 record in his career) has a 2.55 ERA while surrendering 6.9 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 423 ER's while earning a WHIP of 0.990 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 5.34 and he has faced 5,875 hitters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-145)

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