Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks Prediction, 5/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Arizona Diamondbacks

Date: Tuesday, May 27, 2025

Location: Chase Field in Phoenix, AZ

TV: DBACKS.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+172) Arizona (-210)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (19-35) are on their way to Chase Field on Tuesday where they will take on the Arizona Diamondbacks (26-27). The moneyline on this matchup has the Pirates at +172 while the Diamondbacks are coming in at -210. The total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Mike Burrows and Corbin Burnes.

The Pirates have tallied 62 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 37 baseballs out of the park. Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .331 and have struck out 468 times, while taking a walk on 190 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 3.0 runs per game, which puts them at 30th in the league. They have accrued 159 RBI's as well as 399 hits this season, while their team batting average sits at .224. They have 164 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .304.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.29 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.27. Pirates pitchers have given up 43 home runs in addition to 231 total runs (18th in the league). Pittsburgh has conceded 436 base knocks (8.2 per 9 innings) and 214 earned runs. The Pirates are sitting with a team ERA of 4.00 over the course of the season (17th in the league), and the staff has struck out 399 batters. They have walked 174 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.82 as a squad on the campaign.

Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 56 times as well as having 63 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 29 holds on the year (18th in baseball). The Pirates bullpen have compiled a save rate of 50.0% and have entered the game in 52 save situations. They have recorded 11 saves on the season and have missed out on 11 of 22 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 88 base runners over the course of the season with 34.1% of those runners ended up scoring. The Pirates have dispatched 181 relief pitchers to the mound on the season.

The Pirates have turned 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 4,329 innings, which has them ranked 12th in pro baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have notched a total of 1,443 putouts thus far, as well as 482 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .984 which puts them in 22nd in MLB, and they have turned 49 double plays.

Burrows (1-1 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 5.47 while he has gone up against 34 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 6 base knocks (6.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 5 walks. His ERA is 5.56 (5 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.358. Burrows has taken the ball for 8 frames and has tallied 5 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Diamondbacks hold a team slugging percentage of .447 and they are scoring 5.04 runs per contest (5th in the league). They have put up 107 doubles, while taking a walk 195 times and recording 267 runs. Arizona has hit 73 home runs on the campaign as well as 260 RBIs. They have been rung up on 399 occasions (27th in baseball) and have accounted for 460 base hits. The Arizona Diamondbacks hold an on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a batting average of .255 so far this year.

The Diamondbacks have a team WHIP of 1.320 and have a FIP of 4.32 as a team for the season. They are sitting at 21st in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 446. The Arizona pitching staff have conceded 266 runs on the campaign while having an ERA of 4.68 (245 earned runs given up). They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.70 (454 strikeouts against 176 walks). They have conceded 69 long balls and they surrender 5.08 runs per 9 innings (24th in baseball).

Arizona relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.4% of 51 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 53 times in high leverage situations in addition to 43 occasions with runners on base. With 58 save situations, the Diamondbacks have recorded 29 holds and 11 blown saves. They rank 16th in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.7%, and they have sent 159 relievers to the mound this year. Arizona has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 28 save chances and they have tallied 17 saves.

In their 4,245 innings played, the Diamondbacks hold a efficiency on defense of 69.8% (18th in baseball). The Arizona Diamondbacks have gotten 37 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in professional baseball). The Diamondbacks have racked up 467 assists, 25 errors and have accounted for 1,415 putouts so far this year.

Thus far in his career, Burnes has allowed 746 hits and he has 1,102 strikeouts in 955 innings. Burnes (63-38 record in his career) has a 3.17 ERA and has conceded 7.0 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 336 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.071 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.98 and he has faced 3,865 batters in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+172)

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