Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves Prediction, 9/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Atlanta Braves

Date: Saturday, September 27, 2025

Location: Truist Park in Cumberland, GA

TV: FanDuel Sports Network South

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+172) Atlanta (-210)

The Atlanta Braves (75-84) will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (69-89) at Truist Park on Saturday. The odds on this game have Pittsburgh at +172 and Atlanta is sitting at -210. The total is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Bubba Chandler and Spencer Strider.

The Pirates have tallied 241 two-baggers as a team and have hit 113 baseballs out of the stadium. Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .350 and have been rung up 1,383 times, while drawing a walk on 519 occasions. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are compiling 3.6 runs per game, which has them at 30th in baseball. They have accumulated 548 runs batted in in addition to 1,211 hits for the season, and their team batting average comes in at .231. They have accumulated 569 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305.

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The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 3.80 on the campaign (7th in the league), and they have rung up 1,278 batters. Pirates pitchers have allowed 150 home runs and 635 total runs (6th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 463 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.86 as a team this year. Pittsburgh has yielded 1,238 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 589 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.76 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.22.

The Pirates relievers have a save rate of 57.4% and have entered the game in 135 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 215 base runners on the season and 35.8% of those players earned a run for their team. Pirates relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 141 times as well as having 157 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 498 relievers to the hill so far this year. The relief pitchers have accumulated 71 holds on the year (27th in baseball). They have compiled 35 saves this season and have not converted 26 of their 61 chances to get a save.

The Pirates have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of 12,570 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 8th in baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have 4,190 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 1,306 assists and 75 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 11th in the majors, and they have turned 115 double plays.

Chandler has pitched in 25 frames and has tallied 25 K's in his pro baseball career. Chandler (3-1 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.57 while he has faced 103 hitters in the major leagues. His earned run average is 4.64 (13 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 0.992. He has given up 21 base knocks (7.5 hits per nine innings) and has had 4 walks.

Atlanta has 187 long balls on the season as well as 694 runs batted in. They have hit 238 two-baggers, while taking a walk 566 times and scoring 716 runs. The Atlanta Braves are sitting with an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .246 for the year. The Braves have a team SLG% of .400 and they average 4.50 runs per game (13th in the league). They have been rung up on 1,343 occasions (13th in MLB) and have tallied 1,330 hits.

The Atlanta pitching staff have relinquished 721 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 4.36 (683 earned runs relinquished). They have given up 193 dingers and they yield 4.60 runs per 9 innings (20th in the league). The Braves hold a team WHIP of 1.303 and have a FIP of 4.20 as a staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.90 (1,391 strikeouts vs 520 free passes). They rank 20th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,318.

Atlanta relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 39.0% out of 213 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 167 times in high leverage situations in addition to 157 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 126 save situations, the Braves have compiled 72 holds and also 21 blown saves. They sit at 20th in baseball with a save rate of 61.1%, and they have dispatched 510 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Atlanta has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 54 save chances and they have tallied 33 saves.

In 12,699 innings on the diamond, the Braves have earned a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (18th in the majors). The Atlanta Braves have turned 105 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .991 (2nd in the majors). The Braves have accrued 1,339 assists, 53 errors and have earned 4,233 putouts for the year.

Strider (39-23 career win-loss mark) has a 3.73 ERA while conceding 7.2 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.93 and he has gone up against 1,854 batters in his pro baseball career. He has conceded 186 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.155 and a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, Strider has allowed 360 base knocks and he has 621 punch outs in 448 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Atlanta (-210) and under 9 runs

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