Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, August 29, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+150) Boston (-182)

The Boston Red Sox (74-60) will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) at Fenway Park on Friday. The moneyline on this game has Pittsburgh at +150 and Boston is priced at -182. The over/under comes in at 9. The expected starting pitchers are Mike Burrows and Kyle Harrison.

As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are scoring 3.6 runs per game, which has them at 30th in the league. They have a total of 483 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .305. The Pirates have hit 198 doubles as a squad and have knocked 97 baseballs out of the park. They have 466 runs batted in in addition to 1,038 hits for the year, and their batting average is sitting at .234. Pittsburgh has a slugging % of .352 and have been rung up 1,160 times, while taking a walk on 430 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.21. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 128 home runs and also 548 total runs (9th in baseball). Pittsburgh has given up 1,050 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 516 earned runs. The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 3.93 for the year (14th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 1,056 batters. They have walked 386 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.88 as a team this year.

Pirates relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 119 times as well as having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers are sitting with 58 holds on the year (25th in MLB). The Pirates relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 58.0% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. They have compiled 29 saves for the season and have blown 21 of their 50 save opportunities. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 186 runners for the year and 37.1% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Pirates have sent 414 relievers to the mound for the season.

The Pirates have turned 71.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 10,644 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 6th in the majors. The Pittsburgh Pirates have a tally of 3,548 putouts this season, in addition to 1,108 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which has them ranked 13th in pro baseball, and have earned 95 double plays.

Burrows has pitched in 79 innings and has totaled 80 punch outs in his career. His earned run average is 4.20 (37 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.261. He has given up 69 base hits (7.8 hits per 9 innings) with 31 free passes. Burrows (2-4 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.14 while he has gone up against 336 hitters in the major leagues.

Boston has knocked in 161 home runs this season as well as 635 RBIs. They have recorded 270 two-baggers, while walking 440 times and putting up 665 runs. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with a team OBP of .324 in addition to a batting average of .252 on the season. The Red Sox have a team slugging percentage of .425 and they have an average of 4.96 runs per outing (4th in the league). They have struck out on 1,184 instances (5th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,159 hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.279 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a squad this season. They rank 18th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 1,098. The Boston pitching staff have allowed 558 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.67 (489 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.30 (1,108 strikeouts against 437 free passes). They have yielded 136 dingers and they concede 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB).

Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 30.9% out of their 178 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 162 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 133 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 71 holds in addition to 23 blown saves. They rank 20th in baseball with a save percentage of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 436 relief pitchers onto the field for the season. Boston has called on relief pitchers to take the mound in 60 save chances and they have recorded 37 saves.

Out of their 10,800 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in the majors). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 107 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have racked up 1,228 assists, 101 errors and have earned 3,600 putouts for the season.

Harrison (9-9 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.50 ERA while surrendering 8.6 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.87 and he has gone up against 779 batters during his pro baseball career. He has conceded 91 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.301 and having a FIP of 4.4. So far in his pro baseball career, Harrison has given up 175 hits while earning 178 K's in 182 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-182)

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