Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 8/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+120) Boston (-144)

Fenway Park is where the Boston Red Sox (74-60) will go up against the Pittsburgh Pirates (59-75) on Saturday. The line on this contest has the Pirates at +120 while the Red Sox are coming in at -144. The over/under is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Johan Oviedo and Dustin May.

The Pirates have hit 198 doubles as a unit and have knocked 97 baseballs out of the stadium. Pittsburgh is slugging .352 and have been rung up 1,160 times, while drawing a walk on 430 occasions. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are putting up 3.6 runs/g, which ranks them 30th in the league. They have amassed 466 runs batted in as well as 1,038 hits for the year, while their average at the plate sits at .234. They have a total of 483 runs while holding a team OBP of .305.

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The Pirates have compiled a team earned run average of 3.93 on the year (14th in the league), and their staff has rung up 1,056 batters. Pirates pitchers have conceded 128 home runs and also 548 runs in total (9th in MLB). They have walked 386 opposing players and their FIP is 3.88 as a team so far this year. Pittsburgh has given up 1,050 hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 516 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.21.

The Pirates relief pitchers have accumulated a save rate of 58.0% and have come into the game in 110 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 186 runners this year with 37.1% of those players ended up scoring. Pirates pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 119 times in addition to having 130 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have sent 414 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign. The relief pitchers have recorded 58 holds over the course of the season (25th in baseball). They have tallied 29 saves this year and have blown 21 of 50 chances to save the game.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have amassed 3,548 putouts so far this season, in addition to 1,108 assists and 63 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 13th in baseball, and have 95 double plays. The Pirates have transformed 71.0% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,644 innings on the field, which has them ranked 6th in professional baseball.

Oviedo has taken the mound for 330 innings and has accounted for 293 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Oviedo (14-25 career mark) sits with a FIP of 4.24 while going up against 1,466 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.31 (158 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.393. He has given up 302 hits (8.2 hits per 9 innings) and has 158 walks.

The Red Sox have a SLG% of .425 and they score 4.96 runs per outing (4th in MLB). They have put up 270 two-baggers, while getting a free base 440 times and notching 665 runs. Boston has 161 home runs so far this season to go along with 635 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 1,184 instances (5th in the league) and have earned a total of 1,159 base hits. The Boston Red Sox are sitting with an OBP of .324 as well as a batting average of .252 on the campaign.

The Red Sox are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.279 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a staff so far this season. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 8.30 (1,108 strikeouts against 437 bases on balls). They sit at 18th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 1,098. They have surrendered 136 long balls and they surrender 4.19 runs per 9 innings (10th in MLB). The Boston pitching staff have conceded 558 runs on the year while holding an ERA of 3.67 (489 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 133 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 71 holds and also 23 blown saves. Boston has called on relievers to enter the game in 60 save chances and they have tallied 37 saves. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 162 times in high leverage situations and on 134 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers have an inherited score percentage of 30.9% of 178 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 20th in the league holding a save percentage of 61.7%, and they have dispatched 436 relief pitchers onto the field this year.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 107 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .980 (29th in the majors). The Red Sox have accrued 1,228 assists, 101 errors and have 3,600 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 10,800 innings on the field, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.3% (21st in MLB).

May (19-19 career mark) has a 3.77 earned run average while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.72 and he has faced 1,315 batters thus far in his career. He has surrendered 132 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.180 and having a FIP of 3.7. Thus far in his career, May has allowed 265 base hits while accumulating 291 strikeouts in 315 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (-144)

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