Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs Prediction, 6/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Chicago Cubs

Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025

Location: Wrigley Field in Chicago, IL

TV: Marquee

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+150) Chicago (-182)

Wrigley Field is the site where the Chicago Cubs (42-27) will try to beat the Pittsburgh Pirates (28-42) on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has Pittsburgh at +150 and Chicago is sitting at -182. The total has been set at 8. The men taking the mound will be Mitch Keller and Colin Rea.

Pittsburgh has a slugging rate of .341 and have been rung up 613 times, while taking a walk on 236 occasions. They have tallied 217 runs batted in in addition to 526 hits so far this year, while their batting average sits at .228. The Pirates have tallied 88 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 49 balls out of the park. They are sitting with 227 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .306. As a team, the Pittsburgh Pirates are earning 3.2 runs per contest, which is 30th in baseball.

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The Pirates hold a team earned run average of 3.78 on the campaign (13th in MLB), and their staff has struck out 521 hitters. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 58 home runs and also 280 runs (15th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 208 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 3.74 as a squad for the season. Pittsburgh has given up 535 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 261 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.50 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Pirates have dispatched 223 relievers to the mound on the year. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 105 base runners for the year with 37.1% of them ended up scoring. They have 15 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 12 of their 27 save chances. The Pirates bullpen have earned a save percentage of 55.6% and have entered the game in 67 save situations. The relievers have 38 holds for the year (18th in MLB). Pirates relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 66 times and also have had 74 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pirates have transformed 71.6% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 5,589 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in pro baseball. The Pittsburgh Pirates have earned a total of 1,863 putouts thus far, as well as 623 assists and 38 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .985 which ranks 19th in MLB, and have 59 double plays.

Keller (37-59 career mark) holds a FIP of 4.48 and he has faced 3,419 hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 828 base hits (9.5 hits per nine innings) with 268 free passes. His ERA is 4.55 (396 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.399. Keller has taken the ball for 783 innings and has earned 752 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

The Chicago Cubs hold an OBP of .327 in addition to a batting average of .256 so far this year. They have been called out on strikes on 550 instances (19th in MLB) and have accounted for 615 base hits. Chicago has accumulated 96 home runs on the year and 371 runs batted in. The Cubs have a team slugging % of .442 and they are scoring 5.49 runs per contest (2nd in MLB). They have 126 two-baggers, while taking a walk 247 times as well as earning 379 runs.

The Cubs have a team WHIP of 1.241 and have a FIP of 3.93 as a team for the year. They come in at 18th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 571. The Chicago pitching staff have allowed 275 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 3.68 (252 earned runs yielded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 7.80 (537 strikeouts vs 194 walks). They have allowed 73 home runs and they allow 4.02 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league).

With 70 save situations, the Cubs have 44 holds and 8 blown saves. Chicago has had relievers step onto the hill in 24 save chances and they have recorded 16 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 74 times in high leverage situations and on 52 occasions with runners on base. Chicago relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.5% out of their 73 inherited base runners. They are ranked 10th in MLB holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have sent 230 relievers to the hill for the year.

In 5,550 innings on the field, the Cubs are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.4% (13th in professional baseball). The Chicago Cubs have turned 58 double plays and have a fielding rate of .987 (11th in the majors). The Cubs have accrued 587 assists, 31 errors and have a tally of 1,850 putouts this year.

Rea (30-22 career win-loss record) has earned a 4.50 earned run average and has conceded 8.9 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.67 and he has faced 2,166 batters in his MLB career. He has given up a total of 254 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.289 and a FIP of 4.4. During his pro baseball career, Rea has given up 500 base hits while he has tallied 414 K's in 508 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Chicago (-182) and under 8 runs

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