Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Friday, July 11, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+220) Minnesota (-275)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-54) are headed to Target Field on Friday where they will take on the Minnesota Twins (43-47). The moneyline on this game has the Pirates at +220 and the Twins are sitting at -275. The total has been set at 8. The starting pitchers are Mike Burrows and Joe Ryan.

Pittsburgh has a slugging percentage of .339 and have been called out on strikes 805 times, while drawing a walk on 291 occasions. They have accrued 303 RBI's in addition to 698 base knocks so far this year, while their team batting average is sitting at .230. The Pirates have compiled 118 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 62 balls out of the stadium. They have a total of 313 runs scored and hold an OBP of .302. As a squad, the Pittsburgh Pirates are recording 3.4 runs per game, which has them sitting at 30th in MLB.

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They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.55 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Pirates pitchers have yielded 82 home runs and also 356 total runs (7th in baseball). Pittsburgh has allowed 702 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and also 332 earned runs. The Pirates hold a team ERA of 3.68 this season (7th in the league), and the staff has rung up 685 batters. They have walked 269 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.83 as a squad over the course of the season.

The Pirates bullpen have recorded a save rate of 54.5% and have come into the game in 78 save situations. The relievers have inherited 134 runners this year and 32.8% of those runners crossed home plate. Pirates relief pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 85 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations. The Pirates have dispatched 283 relief pitchers to the mound this season. The relievers have a total of 43 holds this season (24th in the league). They have 18 saves on the season and have blown 15 of their 33 save opportunities.

The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 2,437 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 801 assists and 42 errors. Their fielding rate is holding steady at .987 which is 10th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 76 double plays. The Pirates have converted 71.8% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,311 innings on the diamond, ranking them 2nd in pro baseball.

Burrows has thrown 42 innings and has tallied 43 K's in his MLB career. Burrows (2-2 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.56 while he has faced 184 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 3.62 (17 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.348. He has surrendered 40 base hits (8.5 hits per 9 innings) and has had 17 walks.

Minnesota has accounted for 102 long balls on the year and 360 RBIs. They have hit 138 doubles, while walking 262 times and putting up 374 runs. The Minnesota Twins have compiled a team OBP of .309 and a batting average of .239 so far this year. The Twins hold a slugging % of .391 and they earn 4.16 runs per game (22nd in baseball). They have been rung up on 750 occasions (16th in the league) and have earned a total of 719 hits.

The Twins hold a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 3.72 as a staff so far this season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.70 (766 strikeouts against 234 free passes). They are currently ranked 19th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 755. They have allowed 93 long balls and they allow 4.47 runs per 9 innings (20th in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have surrendered 392 runs so far this season and come in with a team ERA of 4.15 (364 earned runs conceded).

Minnesota has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 31 save opportunities and they have earned 17 saves. They are currently ranked 25th in the league with a save rate of 54.8%, and they have dispatched 306 relievers onto the diamond over the course of the season. Their relief pitchers have come in 108 times in high leverage situations and on 65 occasions with runners on base. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 35.9% of 92 inherited base runners. With 91 save situations, the Twins have tallied 58 holds and also 14 blown saves.

Out of their 7,101 innings on the diamond, the Twins hold a efficiency on defense of 68.8% (23rd in pro baseball). The Minnesota Twins have gotten 45 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Twins have racked up 668 assists, 45 errors and have notched a total of 2,367 putouts over the course of the season.

During his career, Ryan has given up 468 hits while accumulating 641 punch outs in 574 innings. Ryan (41-30 career record) holds a 3.71 ERA while surrendering 7.3 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 237 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.041 and having a FIP of 3.7. His strikeout to walk ratio is 4.93 and he has gone up against 2,320 batters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Pittsburgh (+220)

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