Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Pittsburgh Pirates vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Pittsburgh (+102) Seattle (-122)

The Pittsburgh Pirates (38-50) are traveling to T-Mobile Park on Saturday where they will attempt to defeat the Seattle Mariners (45-41). The odds on this game have the Pirates at +102 and the Mariners are priced at -122. The betting total comes in at 9. The men taking the mound are Mike Burrows and Luis Castillo.

The Pirates have recorded 117 doubles as a team and have hit 61 balls out of the stadium. Pittsburgh is slugging .347 and have been rung up 761 times, while being walked on 284 occasions. As a unit, the Pittsburgh Pirates are knocking in 3.5 runs per game, which has them at 28th in MLB. They have tallied 300 RBI's in addition to 682 hits on the campaign, while their team batting average is .234. They have 310 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .307.

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The Pirates have a team earned run average of 3.64 for the year (7th in the league), and their staff has struck out 652 hitters. Pirates pitchers have surrendered 73 long balls and also 339 total runs (9th in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 263 hitters and their FIP is 3.77 as a team over the course of the season. Pittsburgh has conceded 671 base knocks (7.7 per 9 innings) in addition to 316 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.48 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20.

The Pirates have sent 274 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 131 base runners on the season with 33.6% of those players ended up scoring. They have earned 18 saves on the campaign and have blown 15 of 33 chances to get a save. The Pirates relievers have a save rate of 54.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 43 holds so far this season (23rd in the league). Pirates pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 84 times as well as having 91 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Pirates have transformed 71.8% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,023 innings on the field, which ranks them 2nd in MLB. The Pittsburgh Pirates have accumulated 2,341 putouts this season, as well as 774 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .987 which ranks 11th in pro baseball, and have a total of 75 double plays.

Burrows has taken the mound for 37 innings and has tallied 37 punch outs during his pro baseball career. Burrows (2-2 record in his career) sits with a FIP of 4.04 while he has gone up against 162 hitters in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.10 (17 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.340. He has conceded 37 hits (8.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 13 walks.

The Mariners have a team slugging % of .404 and they are scoring 4.56 runs per outing (13th in MLB). They have put up 118 doubles, while getting a free base 297 times as well as putting up 392 runs. Seattle has a total of 112 long balls so far this year as well as 379 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 753 occasions (9th in the league) and have a total of 735 hits. The Seattle Mariners have compiled a team OBP of .324 as well as a team batting average of .248 on the season.

The Seattle pitching staff have conceded 377 runs over the course of the season while holding an ERA of 3.91 (339 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 105 dingers and they give up 4.34 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league). The Mariners have a WHIP of 1.274 with a FIP of 4.20 as a pitching staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.10 (706 strikeouts against 268 free passes). They have a ranking of 21st in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 727.

With 76 save situations, the Mariners have earned 40 holds and 15 blown saves. Seattle has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 36 save opportunities and they have come away with 21 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 116 times in high leverage situations and on 64 occasions with runners on. Seattle bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 22.1% out of their 68 inherited runners. They are currently ranked 21st in the league with a save percentage of 58.3%, and they have sent 291 relievers to the mound for the year.

In their 7,032 innings on the field, the Mariners are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (11th in professional baseball). The Seattle Mariners have gotten 71 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .990 (4th in baseball). The Mariners have 741 assists, 32 errors and have a total of 2,344 putouts so far this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Castillo has surrendered 1,132 base knocks and he has 1,410 punch outs in 1,326 frames. Castillo (77-81 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 3.56 earned run average while allowing 7.7 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 524 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.185 and a FIP of 3.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.21 and he has gone up against 5,486 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Seattle (-122)

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