San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins Prediction, 8/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Minnesota Twins

Date: Saturday, August 30, 2025

Location: Target Field in Minneapolis, MN

TV: Twins.TV

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-150) Minnesota (+125)

The Minnesota Twins (60-73) will compete against the San Diego Padres (75-59) at Target Field on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has San Diego at -150 while Minnesota is coming in at +125. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Nick Pivetta and Mick Abel.

The Padres have tallied 219 doubles as a team and have hit 116 balls out of the park. San Diego owns a slugging percentage of .385 and have struck out 938 times, while drawing a walk on 430 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are earning 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 23rd in baseball. They have 529 RBI's and 1,123 hits for the year, while their team batting average sits at .251. They have 564 runs while holding a team OBP of .321.

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The Padres are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.60 so far this season (2nd in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,150 hitters. Padres pitchers have given up 139 long balls and also 510 runs in total (2nd in baseball). They have walked 437 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.95 as a team on the campaign. San Diego has surrendered 977 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) as well as 473 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.63 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.19.

The Padres have sent 470 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 218 runners for the year with 28.0% of them earned a run for their team. They have tallied 43 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 of their 58 chances to get a save. The Padres relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 74.1% and have stepped onto the mound in 153 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 90 holds so far this year (4th in MLB). Padres relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 154 times in addition to having 182 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 72.1% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,656 innings, which has them sitting at 2nd in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have a total of 3,552 putouts on the campaign, as well as 1,010 assists and 61 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which ranks 12th in pro baseball, and have 100 double plays.

Pivetta (69-75 career record) holds a FIP of 4.44 and he has faced 4,988 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,081 base hits (8.2 hits per nine innings) and has had 418 free passes. His earned run average is 4.51 (592 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.268. Pivetta has taken the hill for 1,182 frames and has 1,300 K's during his MLB career.

The Minnesota Twins have earned a team on-base percentage of .310 in addition to a batting average of .238 so far this season. They have struck out on 1,105 instances (15th in the league) and have tallied 1,058 hits. Minnesota has hit 159 HRs on the campaign as well as 530 RBIs. The Twins hold a team slugging % of .398 and they average 4.18 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have hit 204 doubles, while taking a walk 403 times and scoring 556 runs.

The Twins are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.307 and have a FIP of 4.07 as a team on the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (1,113 strikeouts against 368 walks). They are sitting at 24th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 1,161. They have yielded 159 homers and they give up 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Minnesota pitching staff have allowed 618 runs so far this season while having a team ERA of 4.44 (577 earned runs yielded).

Sitting with 127 save situations, the Twins have earned 81 holds and also 19 blown saves. Minnesota has had relievers take the mound in 44 save opportunities and they have recorded 25 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the hill 155 times in high leverage situations and also on 100 occasions with runners on. Minnesota relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 35.7% out of their 143 inherited base runners. They are ranked 25th in the league with a save percentage of 56.8%, and they have dispatched 454 relief pitchers to the hill this year.

The Minnesota Twins have turned 80 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Twins have 991 assists, 61 errors and have a tally of 3,510 putouts for the year. In 10,530 innings on the diamond, the Twins have earned a defensive efficiency of 68.6% (27th in baseball).

During his MLB career, Abel has conceded 32 base hits while he has accumulated 23 punch outs in 28 innings. He has surrendered 20 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.536 and having a FIP of 6.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.09 and he has faced 125 opposing batters so far in his pro baseball career. Abel (2-3 career win-loss record) is the owner of a 6.43 earned run average and has given up 10.3 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Minnesota (+125)

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