San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, May 5, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-196) New York (+162)

The San Diego Padres (19-11) are on their way to Yankee Stadium on Monday where they will try to beat the New York Yankees (18-13). The moneyline on this game has the Padres at -196 while the Yankees are sitting at +162. The total is set at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Michael King and Carlos Rodon.

The Padres have accounted for 44 doubles as a team and have knocked 26 balls out of the park. San Diego has a slugging percentage of .391 and have struck out 202 times, while drawing a walk on 96 occasions. As a team, the San Diego Padres are scoring 3.9 runs per outing, which has them at 19th in MLB. They have 109 runs batted in as well as 252 base knocks for the year, and their average at the plate is sitting at .259. They have earned 118 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .327.

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The Padres have a team earned run average of 2.86 for the year (2nd in MLB), and they have rung up 267 batters. Padres pitchers have surrendered 24 long balls and 90 total runs (1st in the league). They have walked 92 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.37 as a squad over the course of the season. San Diego has yielded 204 base hits (7.0 per 9 innings) and 84 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.90 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.12.

The Padres have sent 101 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 34 base runners so far this year and 29.4% of those players ended up scoring. They have earned 13 saves over the course of the season and have missed out on 1 out of their 14 save opportunities. The Padres bullpen have earned a save percentage of 92.9% and have stepped onto the mound in 39 save situations. The bullpen have 25 holds for the year (6th in the league). Padres relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 22 times in addition to having 37 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Diego Padres have earned a total of 792 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 206 assists and 14 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which has them ranked 15th in MLB, and have accumulated 19 double plays. The Padres have turned 72.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 2,376 innings, which has them sitting 5th in baseball.

King has taken the ball for 459 frames and has earned 529 strikeouts in his MLB career. His ERA is 3.12 (159 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.178. He has surrendered 383 base hits (7.5 hits per 9 innings) with 158 walks. King (30-27 mark in his career) has a FIP of 3.07 and he has gone up against 1,917 hitters during his time in the major leagues.

New York has accounted for 53 home runs for the season as well as 171 RBIs. They have recorded 56 doubles, while getting a free base 124 times and recording 177 runs. The New York Yankees have recorded a team OBP of .351 and a batting average of .267 on the year. The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .478 and they score 5.71 runs per contest (2nd in the league). They have been rung up on 296 instances (3rd in the league) and have 283 hits.

The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.196 in addition to having a FIP of 3.82 as a staff on the season. They rank 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 203. The New York pitching staff have conceded 125 runs this season and come in with a team ERA of 3.72 (112 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.40 (283 strikeouts vs 121 free passes). They have surrendered 30 homers and they concede 4.15 runs per 9 innings (11th in baseball).

New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 14.9% out of their 47 inherited runners. Their relievers have come in 23 times in high leverage situations and also on 34 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 31 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 19 holds in addition to 3 blown saves. They are currently ranked 6th in baseball with a save rate of 75.0%, and they have sent 98 relievers onto the diamond for the year. New York has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 12 save opportunities and they have come away with 9 saves.

The New York Yankees have gotten 19 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .986 (14th in pro baseball). The Yankees have recorded 261 assists, 15 errors and are sitting with 813 putouts during this campaign. In 2,439 innings on the diamond, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 73.4% (2nd in professional baseball).

So far in his pro baseball career, Rodon has allowed 975 hits while accumulating 1,258 K's in 1,128 innings pitched. Rodon (79-66 win-loss record in his career) has a 3.84 earned run average while surrendering 7.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up a total of 481 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.239 and having a FIP of 3.8. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.97 and he has faced 4,753 hitters so far in his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+162)

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