San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 6/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Monday, June 30, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The San Diego Padres (44-36) are en route to Citizens Bank Park on Monday where they will attempt to beat the Philadelphia Phillies (47-34). The line on this contest has San Diego at +162 and Philadelphia is priced at -196. The over/under is 9. The starting pitchers will be Nick Pivetta and Zack Wheeler.

As a squad, the San Diego Padres are putting up 4.2 runs per game, which puts them at 19th in MLB. They have a total of 336 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .316. The Padres have accounted for 118 two-baggers as a squad and have hit 69 balls out of the park. They have amassed 312 RBI's and 661 base knocks for the season, while their batting average is .248. San Diego has a slugging % of .379 and have been called out on strikes 561 times, while drawing a walk on 252 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.66 and their pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.22. Padres pitchers have conceded 79 long balls and 313 total runs (9th in the league). San Diego has yielded 600 base hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 283 earned runs. The Padres are sitting with a team ERA of 3.59 on the campaign (9th in MLB), and they have rung up 697 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 262 hitters and their FIP is 3.80 as a squad on the season.

Padres pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 90 times as well as having 111 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 52 holds on the season (10th in the league). The Padres bullpen have a save percentage of 75.0% and have stepped onto the mound in 89 save situations. They have compiled 27 saves this year and have missed out on 9 of their 36 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 127 runners on the campaign with 35.4% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Padres have dispatched 281 relief pitchers to the hill on the campaign.

The San Diego Padres have earned 2,126 putouts at this point in the season, as well as 607 assists and 39 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .986 which has them ranked 18th in pro baseball, and have a total of 56 double plays. The Padres have transformed 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,378 innings on the diamond, ranking them 6th in baseball.

Pivetta has pitched in 1,120 innings and has earned 1,240 strikeouts thus far in his career. Pivetta (64-73 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 4.57 and he has gone up against 4,748 opposing batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.64 (578 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.294. He has surrendered 1,048 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 401 walks.

The Phillies hold a slugging percentage of .399 and they score 4.57 runs per outing (11th in MLB). They have 126 doubles, while getting a free base 279 times and scoring 370 runs. Philadelphia has hit 83 home runs for the season as well as 353 runs batted in. They have been called out on strikes on 637 instances (21st in baseball) and have 699 base hits. The Philadelphia Phillies have accounted for a team on-base percentage of .328 as well as a batting average of .254 on the campaign.

The Phillies hold a team WHIP of 1.266 and have a FIP of 3.65 as a team on the campaign. They come in at 19th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 680. The Philadelphia pitching staff have given up 333 runs on the season while having an ERA of 3.82 (307 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.30 (746 strikeouts against 235 bases on balls). They have yielded 87 long balls and they relinquish 4.15 runs per 9 innings (11th in MLB).

Philadelphia relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 40.5% out of 74 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations in addition to 53 occasions with runners on base. With 78 save situations, the Phillies have accumulated 37 holds and also 16 blown saves. They sit at 21st in MLB holding a save percentage of 60.0%, and they have dispatched 251 bullpen pitchers to the mound on the season. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 40 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 53 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .990 (2nd in pro baseball). The Phillies have accrued 705 assists, 30 errors and have a total of 2,169 putouts on the season. In their 6,507 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 68.8% (22nd in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Wheeler has surrendered 1,435 base knocks while totaling 1,751 punch outs in 1,677 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 613 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.143 and having a FIP of 3.2. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.63 and he has faced 6,884 batters in his pro baseball career. Wheeler (110-73 record in his career) has a 3.29 earned run average while surrendering 7.7 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-196) and under 9 runs

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