San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction, 7/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs Philadelphia Phillies

Date: Tuesday, July 1, 2025

Location: Citizens Bank Park in Philadelphia, PA

TV: NBC Sports Philadelphia

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (+162) Philadelphia (-196)

The Philadelphia Phillies (49-35) are welcoming the San Diego Padres (45-38) at Citizens Bank Park on Tuesday. The moneyline on this game has San Diego at +162 while Philadelphia is coming in at -196. The total has been set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Nick Pivetta and Cristopher Sanchez.

San Diego is slugging .379 and have struck out 579 times, while taking a walk on 265 occasions. They have tallied 321 RBI's and 682 base knocks on the campaign, while their team batting average is .247. The Padres have accrued 125 two-baggers as a team and have smacked 73 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 345 runs while holding a team OBP of .315. As a unit, the San Diego Padres are compiling 4.2 runs per game, which is 21st in baseball.

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The Padres hold a team ERA of 3.64 so far this season (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 726 hitters. Padres pitchers have conceded 82 long balls in addition to 328 runs in total (8th in the league). They have walked 271 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 3.80 as a team so far this season. San Diego has surrendered 628 hits (7.7 per 9 innings) and 297 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.68 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22.

The Padres have sent 292 relievers to the mound on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 131 runners for the season and 35.9% of those players crossed home plate. They have earned 28 saves so far this year and have blown 11 of their 39 save opportunities. The Padres relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 71.8% and have come into the game in 96 save situations. The relievers have a total of 56 holds for the season (6th in MLB). Padres pitchers have entered the contest with runners on 92 times in addition to having 119 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Padres have converted 70.9% of balls in play into outs in their 6,606 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 8th in professional baseball. The San Diego Padres have earned 2,202 putouts on the year, as well as 627 assists and 40 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which has them ranked 17th in pro baseball, and have 57 double plays.

Pivetta has taken the hill for 1,120 frames and is sitting with 1,240 punch outs so far in his career. Pivetta (64-73 mark in his career) has a FIP of 4.57 while he has faced 4,748 hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.64 (578 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.294. He has conceded 1,048 hits (8.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 401 walks.

The Phillies have a SLG% of .402 and they are scoring 4.60 runs per contest (11th in baseball). They have tallied 134 doubles, while taking a walk 290 times as well as scoring 386 runs. Philadelphia has a total of 88 long balls this season as well as 368 RBIs. They have been rung up on 666 instances (22nd in the league) and have accounted for 727 hits. The Philadelphia Phillies hold an OBP of .328 as well as a batting average of .255 on the campaign.

The Phillies have a WHIP of 1.270 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.63 as a team for the season. They come in at 19th in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 707. The Philadelphia pitching staff have allowed 340 runs on the campaign while holding an ERA of 3.76 (313 earned runs given up). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.30 (775 strikeouts vs 244 free passes). They have given up 89 homers and they surrender 4.09 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

Sitting with 81 save situations, the Phillies have 38 holds and also 16 blown saves. Philadelphia has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 42 save opportunities and they have come away with 26 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 91 times in high leverage situations and on 53 occasions with runners on. Philadelphia relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 40.5% out of their 74 inherited runners. They sit at 17th in MLB with a save rate of 61.9%, and they have dispatched 259 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year.

The Philadelphia Phillies have gotten 56 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .990 (3rd in the majors). The Phillies have recorded 729 assists, 31 errors and have notched a total of 2,247 putouts on the season. In their 6,741 innings on the diamond, the Phillies have a efficiency on defense of 68.6% (24th in the majors).

During his pro baseball career, Sanchez has allowed 405 base knocks while he has earned 400 strikeouts in 426 frames. Sanchez (23-18 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a 3.50 earned run average while giving up 8.5 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 166 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.212 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.57 and he has gone up against 1,773 batters in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Philadelphia (-196)

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