San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants Prediction, 8/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: San Diego Padres vs San Francisco Giants

Date: Monday, August 11, 2025

Location: Oracle Park in San Francisco, CA

TV: NBC Bay Area

Odds/Point Spread: San Diego (-160) San Francisco (+132)

Oracle Park is where the San Francisco Giants (58-57) will go up against the San Diego Padres (64-51) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has San Diego at -160 while San Francisco is priced at +132. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start are Yu Darvish and Logan Webb.

As a team, the San Diego Padres are knocking in 4.1 runs/g, which is 24th in baseball. They have tallied 476 runs and hold an OBP of .320. The Padres have accumulated 177 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 98 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 447 runs batted in and 966 hits so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .251. San Diego has a slugging rate of .382 and have been called out on strikes 807 times, while being walked on 367 occasions.

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The Padres have compiled a team earned run average of 3.58 so far this year (3rd in baseball), and the staff has struck out 978 hitters. Padres pitchers have allowed 113 long balls and 438 total runs (2nd in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 373 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.88 as a unit over the course of the season. San Diego has allowed 856 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and also 404 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.62 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.21.

The Padres relievers have accumulated a save rate of 73.6% and have come into the game in 135 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 189 base runners on the campaign with 28.6% of them earned a run for their team. Padres pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 134 times in addition to having 163 appearances in high leverage situations. The Padres have sent 405 relievers to the hill so far this season. The bullpen have 79 holds for the year (4th in the league). They have recorded 39 saves this year and have not converted 14 of their 53 save opportunities.

The San Diego Padres have accumulated 3,051 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 880 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which puts them in 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 89 double plays. The Padres have transformed 71.5% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,153 innings, which has them sitting 2nd in pro baseball.

Darvish has pitched in 1,733 innings and has earned 2,030 strikeouts so far in his career. His ERA is 3.62 (698 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.140. He has conceded 1,420 base knocks (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 555 free passes. Darvish (111-91 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.57 while he has faced 7,128 batters during his time in the major leagues.

San Francisco has recorded 109 HRs over the course of the season as well as 460 runs batted in. They have recorded 176 doubles, while getting a free base 401 times as well as earning 481 runs. The San Francisco Giants have recorded an on-base percentage of .312 in addition to a batting average of .234 for the season. The Giants have a SLG% of .377 and they are earning 4.18 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have struck out on 972 occasions (14th in baseball) and have tallied 890 base hits.

The San Francisco pitching staff have surrendered 465 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.65 (413 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 98 long balls and they surrender 4.11 runs per 9 innings (9th in MLB). The Giants have a team WHIP of 1.277 in addition to having a FIP of 3.64 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.70 (985 strikeouts against 368 bases on balls). They sit at 13th in baseball as a staff in total hits relinquished with 932.

San Francisco relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.3% out of their 129 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 131 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 114 save situations, the Giants have 69 holds and 17 blown saves. They are currently ranked 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.2%, and they have dispatched 366 relief pitchers onto the field on the season. San Francisco has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 45 save opportunities and they have walked away with 28 saves.

The San Francisco Giants have turned 87 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .984 (23rd in the majors). The Giants have 1,074 assists, 65 errors and have notched a total of 3,054 putouts so far this season. In 9,162 innings played, the Giants hold a efficiency on defense of 68.9% (24th in pro baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Webb has allowed 960 hits while he has accumulated 935 K's in 1,002 innings. Webb (65-50 career win-loss record) has earned a 3.39 earned run average while giving up 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has conceded 378 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.195 and having a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.93 and he has gone up against 4,108 hitters so far in his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Francisco (+132)

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