Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 5/18/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Seattle Mariners vs San Diego Padres

Date: Sunday, May 18, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Seattle (+110) San Diego (-130)

The San Diego Padres (27-15) will try to defeat the Seattle Mariners (23-19) at Petco Park on Sunday. The odds on this game have Seattle at +110 and San Diego is coming in at -130. The over/under is 9. The pitchers expected to start will be Emerson Hancock and Michael King.

As a unit, the Seattle Mariners are earning 4.8 runs per game, which has them at 8th in MLB. They have earned 201 runs while having a team OBP of .327. The Mariners have tallied 56 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 56 balls out of the stadium. They have compiled 193 runs batted in and 339 base knocks this season, while their team batting average comes in at .239. Seattle has a slugging percentage of .399 and have struck out 372 times, while drawing a walk on 168 occasions.

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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.43 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.34. Mariners pitchers have allowed 42 home runs and 190 total runs (19th in the league). Seattle has conceded 371 base knocks (8.7 per 9 innings) as well as 167 earned runs. The Mariners hold a team earned run average of 3.91 this season (15th in MLB), and the staff has struck out 350 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 144 opposing players and their FIP is 3.90 as a team on the year.

The Mariners have sent 151 relievers to the hill this season. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 37 runners on the campaign and 32.4% of them earned a run for their team. They have 14 saves so far this year and have blown 8 of 22 save chances. The Mariners relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 63.6% and have stepped onto the mound in 45 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 23 holds on the campaign (21st in MLB). Mariners bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 36 times as well as having 62 appearances in high leverage situations.

The San Francisco Giants have earned a total of 1,154 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 380 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which is 8th in baseball, and have earned 30 double plays. The Mariners have converted 69.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of their 3,462 innings on the field, which has them ranked 20th in professional baseball.

Hancock has taken the hill for 100 innings and has earned 67 punch outs so far in his career. Hancock (5-6 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 5.30 and he has faced 444 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 5.38 (60 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.454. He has surrendered 113 hits (10.1 hits per nine innings) and has 33 free passes.

The San Diego Padres hold an on-base percentage of .333 in addition to a batting average of .264 on the year. They have struck out on 286 occasions (30th in MLB) and have accounted for 368 base hits. San Diego has recorded 39 home runs for the year as well as 178 RBIs. The Padres hold a slugging percentage of .400 and they average 4.67 runs per contest (11th in MLB). They have put up 63 doubles, while taking a walk 140 times and scoring 196 runs.

The Padres have a team WHIP of 1.164 and have a FIP of 3.74 as a squad on the campaign. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (366 strikeouts against 136 walks). They come in at 2nd in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 295. They have conceded 40 HR's and they surrender 3.55 runs per 9 innings (4th in MLB). The San Diego pitching staff have given up 146 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 3.31 (136 earned runs surrendered).

San Diego relievers hold an inherited score rate of 38.5% out of their 52 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 56 times in high leverage situations in addition to 35 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 54 save situations, the Padres have 33 holds in addition to 4 blown saves. They are ranked 1st in baseball with a save rate of 80.0%, and they have dispatched 145 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. San Diego has had relief pitchers step onto the mound in 20 save chances and they have earned 16 saves.

In their 3,336 innings played, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 72.4% (4th in professional baseball). The San Diego Padres have gotten 31 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (17th in professional baseball). The Padres have recorded 302 assists, 21 errors and have a tally of 1,112 putouts this year.

So far in his MLB career, King has given up 390 base knocks while he has accumulated 539 punch outs in 471 frames. He has conceded a total of 163 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.171 and having a FIP of 3.1. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.33 and he has gone up against 1,962 hitters so far in his pro baseball career. King (30-27 mark in his career) is the owner of a 3.11 ERA while giving up 7.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (+110)

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