Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 6/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Friday, June 27, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-210) Baltimore (+172)

The Baltimore Orioles (34-46) will compete against the Tampa Bay Rays (45-35) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Friday. The line on this contest has Tampa Bay at -210 while Baltimore is opening at +172. The total is 9. The pitchers taking the mound are Ryan Pepiot and Tomoyuki Sugano.

The Rays have hit 127 doubles as a unit and have smacked 85 baseballs out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .403 and have struck out 674 times, while being walked on 246 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are knocking in 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 6th in MLB. They have compiled 358 RBI's in addition to 693 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .257. They have earned 379 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .324.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have relinquished 103 long balls in addition to 302 total runs (7th in baseball). Tampa Bay has conceded 621 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) in addition to 282 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.54 so far this year (8th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 650 hitters. They have walked 218 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a squad this season.

The Rays relievers have a save rate of 64.3% and stepped onto the hill in 78 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 79 base runners for the season with 39.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 54 times as well as having 71 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 253 relievers to the hill this year. The relievers have earned 49 holds so far this year (13th in baseball). They have compiled 18 saves on the season and have blown 10 out of their 28 save opportunities.

The Rays have converted 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of 6,456 innings, which ranks them 2nd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have notched a total of 2,152 putouts for the season, in addition to 743 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 10th in the majors, and have accumulated 85 double plays.

Pepiot (18-15 career mark) has a FIP of 3.17 and he has gone up against 1,234 hitters in the majors. He has given up 231 hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) and has had 108 free passes. His ERA is 3.22 (108 ER's allowed) and his career WHIP is 1.121. Pepiot has taken the mound for 302 innings and has 313 punch outs during his career.

The Orioles hold a team SLG% of .389 and they tally 3.94 runs per outing (24th in MLB). They have hit 113 two-baggers, while walking 225 times and putting up 315 runs. Baltimore has compiled 92 long balls over the course of the season as well as 296 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 706 occasions (7th in MLB) and have earned 627 hits. The Baltimore Orioles have earned an OBP of .302 in addition to a batting average of .236 so far this year.

The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 402 runs on the season while having an ERA of 4.89 (380 earned runs surrendered). They have conceded 108 home runs and they surrender 5.17 runs per 9 innings (26th in MLB). The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.423 and have a FIP of 4.42 as a squad for the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.40 (657 strikeouts against 259 walks). They are currently ranked 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 737.

Baltimore relievers have an inherited score percentage of 19.4% of 129 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with runners on base. With 95 save situations, the Orioles have recorded 63 holds and 10 blown saves. They are currently ranked 12th in the league with a save rate of 65.5%, and they have dispatched 282 relievers onto the diamond for the year. Baltimore has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 29 save opportunities and they have come away with 19 saves.

In their 6,303 innings played, the Orioles have earned a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (29th in professional baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 56 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (24th in professional baseball). The Orioles have accrued 705 assists, 44 errors and have earned 2,101 putouts this year.

During his career, Sugano has allowed 84 hits and he has 50 strikeouts in 83 frames. He has conceded a total of 33 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.214 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has faced 348 hitters in his pro baseball career. Sugano (5-4 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.57 earned run average while giving up 9.1 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-210)

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