Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 6/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, June 28, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-122) Baltimore (+102)

The Baltimore Orioles (34-46) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (45-35) at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -122 while Baltimore is coming in at +102. The betting total is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Zack Littell and Zach Eflin.

The Rays have recorded 127 doubles as a squad and have knocked 85 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay is slugging .403 and have been rung up 674 times, while drawing a walk on 246 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.7 runs per outing, which puts them at 6th in baseball. They have recorded 358 runs batted in in addition to 693 hits over the course of the season, and their average at the plate comes in at .257. They have earned 379 runs and have an on-base percentage of .324.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have given up 103 home runs and 302 runs in total (7th in MLB). Tampa Bay has yielded 621 base knocks (7.8 per 9 innings) as well as 282 earned runs. The Rays have an ERA of 3.54 this year (8th in the league), and the staff has rung up 650 batters. They have walked 218 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a squad on the year.

The Rays have sent 253 relief pitchers to the mound for the season. The relief pitchers have inherited 79 runners on the year with 39.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. They have accumulated 18 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 28 chances to save the game. The Rays bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 64.3% and have entered the game in 78 save situations. The bullpen have a total of 49 holds for the season (13th in MLB). Rays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 54 times as well as having 71 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 72.0% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,456 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 2nd in MLB. The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 2,152 putouts thus far, as well as 743 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 10th in MLB, and have a total of 85 double plays.

Littell (30-28 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.83 while facing 2,146 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has given up 519 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) and has had 114 walks. His earned run average is 3.89 (222 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.233. Littell has taken the mound for 513 innings and is sitting with 432 K's thus far in his career.

Baltimore has hit 92 home runs on the year as well as 296 runs batted in. They have hit 113 doubles, while walking 225 times as well as putting up 315 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have a team on-base percentage of .302 and a team batting average of .236 over the course of the season. The Orioles have a SLG% of .389 and they score 3.94 runs per contest (24th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 706 occasions (7th in baseball) and have earned a total of 627 base hits.

The Orioles hold a team WHIP of 1.423 with a FIP of 4.42 as a pitching staff for the year. They sit at 28th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 737. The Baltimore pitching staff have relinquished 402 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 4.89 (380 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (657 strikeouts vs 259 walks). They have given up 108 dingers and they surrender 5.17 runs per 9 innings (26th in the league).

Baltimore relievers have an inherited score rate of 19.4% out of 129 inherited base runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 82 times in high leverage situations and also on 94 occasions with runners on base. With 95 save situations, the Orioles have earned 63 holds in addition to 10 blown saves. They rank 12th in MLB with a save rate of 65.5%, and they have sent 282 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. Baltimore has called on relievers to enter the contest in 29 save chances and they have converted 19 saves.

The Baltimore Orioles have gotten 56 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (24th in MLB). The Orioles have racked up 705 assists, 44 errors and have notched a total of 2,101 putouts so far this year. Out of their 6,303 innings on the field, the Orioles hold a efficiency on defense of 67.3% (29th in the majors).

Eflin (68-66 career mark) has earned a 4.24 ERA while conceding 9.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 4.17 and he has faced 4,453 batters during his pro baseball career. He has given up 501 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.232 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. In his MLB career, Eflin has conceded 1,091 base hits while earning 914 K's in 1,063 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-122)

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