Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Wednesday, June 11, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-150) Boston (+125)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (32-36) will meet the Tampa Bay Rays (36-30) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at -150 while Boston is coming in at +125. The total comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Zack Littell and Walker Buehler.

The Rays have accumulated 106 two-baggers as a squad and have smacked 70 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay has a slugging % of .393 and have been called out on strikes 558 times, while being walked on 200 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.5 runs per contest, which is 11th in baseball. They have tallied 282 runs batted in and 546 hits so far this season, while their team batting average sits at .247. They have accumulated 297 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .313.

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The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.53 this year (9th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 522 batters. Rays pitchers have conceded 85 home runs and also 247 runs (8th in MLB). They have walked 176 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.19 as a squad so far this season. Tampa Bay has yielded 518 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and also 233 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.97 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.17.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 39 times and also have had 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 42 holds this season (11th in MLB). The Rays relievers have earned a save rate of 61.5% and stepped onto the hill in 69 save situations. They have earned 16 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of their 26 chances to save the game. The relievers have inherited 54 base runners this season with 40.7% of them crossed the plate. The Rays have dispatched 210 relief pitchers to the hill this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have earned a total of 1,780 putouts for the season, as well as 636 assists and 29 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .988 which has them ranked 7th in baseball, and have 74 double plays. The Rays have turned 72.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 5,340 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 3rd in MLB.

Littell has taken the mound for 496 innings and has totaled 418 strikeouts in his career. Littell (30-26 career record) has a FIP of 3.82 while he has gone up against 2,075 opposing batters in the majors. His ERA is 3.88 (214 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.237. He has surrendered 500 base hits (9.1 hits per 9 innings) and has 114 walks.

The Boston Red Sox have a team on-base percentage of .329 as well as a batting average of .255 this year. They have been called out on strikes on 629 occasions (2nd in baseball) and have earned 607 base hits. Boston is sitting with 83 HRs for the year to go along with 324 runs batted in. The Red Sox hold a team slugging % of .422 and they are scoring 4.97 runs per outing (5th in baseball). They have recorded 131 doubles, while getting a free base 239 times as well as scoring 338 runs.

The Boston pitching staff have relinquished 323 runs this season while holding an ERA of 4.16 (283 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 69 home runs and they give up 4.75 runs per 9 innings (23rd in MLB). The Red Sox have a WHIP of 1.354 and have a FIP of 3.94 as a unit this season. Their K/BB ratio is 8.40 (570 strikeouts vs 229 walks). They are currently ranked 28th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 600.

Boston relievers have an inherited score rate of 32.2% of 90 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 88 times in high leverage situations and also on 69 occasions with runners on base. With 60 save situations, the Red Sox have amassed 29 holds in addition to 14 blown saves. They are ranked 27th in MLB with a save percentage of 51.7%, and they have sent 227 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond so far this year. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 29 save chances and they have earned 15 saves.

The Boston Red Sox have gotten 61 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .976 (30th in MLB). The Red Sox have 618 assists, 60 errors and have amassed 1,837 putouts this year. In 5,511 innings on the diamond, the Red Sox have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 67.3% (29th in professional baseball).

Buehler (51-26 career record) has a 3.39 earned run average and has conceded 7.6 hits per 9 innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.86 and he has gone up against 3,118 hitters so far in his career. He has surrendered 287 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.114 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.3. So far in his pro baseball career, Buehler has allowed 641 base hits while he has accumulated 798 K's in 761 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Boston (+125)

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