Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 7/13/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, July 13, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-122) Boston (+102)

The Boston Red Sox (50-45) are welcoming the Tampa Bay Rays (50-44) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Rays at -122 while the Red Sox are at +102. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Ryan Pepiot and Brayan Bello.

The Rays have earned 146 doubles as a team and have hit 105 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .411 and have struck out 773 times, while drawing a walk on 278 occasions. As a team, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.7 runs per outing, which is 7th in the league. They have recorded 422 RBI's in addition to 826 base knocks on the campaign, while their batting average comes in at .260. They have a total of 444 runs and have an OBP of .322.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.94 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have given up 125 home runs and also 378 runs in total (12th in MLB). Tampa Bay has conceded 741 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 353 earned runs. The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.79 on the season (11th in MLB), and their staff has rung up 784 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 267 opposing players and their FIP is 4.26 as a squad so far this year.

Rays pitchers have entered the contest with players on base 70 times as well as having 89 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have racked up 52 holds this season (17th in the league). The Rays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 58.3% and have entered the game in 89 save situations. They have accumulated 21 saves over the course of the season and have blown 15 of their 36 chances to save the game. The relief pitchers have inherited 102 base runners so far this year with 37.3% of them crossed home plate. The Rays have sent 295 relievers to the hill for the year.

The Rays have turned 71.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 7,545 innings on the diamond, ranking them 5th in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 2,515 putouts on the campaign, in addition to 855 assists and 45 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which puts them in 13th in the majors, and have accumulated 93 double plays.

Pepiot (19-15 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.25 while going up against 1,295 hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has surrendered 243 base hits (6.9 hits per nine innings) with 116 free passes. His earned run average is 3.30 (116 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.135. Pepiot has thrown 316 frames and has racked up 329 punch outs during his pro baseball career.

Boston has recorded 120 long balls for the year and 461 RBIs. They have 192 two-baggers, while taking a walk 311 times as well as putting up 481 runs. The Boston Red Sox have an OBP of .327 and a batting average of .256 this season. The Red Sox have a team slugging % of .434 and they have an average of 5.06 runs per game (5th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 862 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have 843 hits.

The Red Sox hold a team WHIP of 1.312 in addition to having a FIP of 3.88 as a squad so far this year. They are sitting at 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 797. The Boston pitching staff have given up 425 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 3.89 (368 earned runs yielded). They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.40 (795 strikeouts vs 320 walks). They have given up 91 home runs and they concede 4.49 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball).

Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to take the mound in 43 save chances and they have converted 25 saves. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB with a save percentage of 58.1%, and they have sent 309 relievers onto the field on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 118 times in high leverage situations in addition to 95 occasions with runners on base. Boston bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.6% of 128 inherited base runners. With 95 save situations, the Red Sox have recorded 50 holds and also 18 blown saves.

In 7,665 innings on the field, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.4% (26th in baseball). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 82 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .978 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 876 assists, 76 errors and have 2,555 putouts this season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 474 hits while tallying 405 strikeouts in 461 innings pitched. He has allowed a total of 216 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.396 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.38 and he has gone up against 2,000 opposing batters in his pro baseball career. Bello (33-30 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a 4.21 ERA while giving up 9.2 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-122)

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