Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds Prediction, 7/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Cincinnati Reds

Date: Sunday, July 27, 2025

Location: Great American Ball Park in Cincinnati, OH

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Ohio

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+150) Cincinnati (-182)

The Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) are headed to Great American Ball Park on Sunday where they will take on the Cincinnati Reds (53-50). The odds on this game have Tampa Bay at +150 and Cincinnati is sitting at -182. The betting total is set at 8.5. The starting pitchers are Shane Baz and Brady Singer.

As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.7 runs per contest, which has them at 9th in baseball. They are sitting with 483 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .322. The Rays have accumulated 158 doubles as a squad and have hit 113 baseballs out of the park. They have amassed 453 runs batted in in addition to 895 base knocks for the year, while their team batting average is .258. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .406 and have struck out 851 times, while being walked on 314 occasions.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.98 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have conceded 135 home runs in addition to 419 runs (10th in the league). Tampa Bay has conceded 815 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) in addition to 392 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.85 over the course of the season (12th in the league), and they have rung up 854 batters. They have walked 287 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.22 as a team over the course of the season.

The Rays relievers have compiled a save rate of 57.5% and have stepped onto the mound in 98 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 108 runners on the season with 36.1% of them ended up scoring. Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 73 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 320 relievers to the hill for the season. The relief pitchers have earned 57 holds on the season (15th in the league). They have 23 saves on the year and have blown 17 of their 40 chances to save the game.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 2,750 putouts for the season, as well as 931 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .987 which has them ranked 9th in MLB, and they have turned 100 double plays. The Rays have transformed 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,250 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in baseball.

Baz has taken the ball for 233 innings and has racked up 228 strikeouts thus far in his career. Baz (15-11 record in his career) has a FIP of 3.95 while facing 965 batters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 4.01 (104 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.188. He has given up 196 hits (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 81 free passes.

The Cincinnati Reds have an OBP of .319 and a team batting average of .246 so far this season. They have struck out on 881 occasions (11th in MLB) and have tallied 850 hits. Cincinnati has hit 107 home runs so far this season and 441 RBIs. The Reds have a team slugging percentage of .394 and they average 4.56 runs per game (12th in the league). They have hit 163 two-baggers, while getting a free base 341 times and racking up 470 runs.

The Reds hold a team WHIP of 1.245 and have a FIP of 4.14 as a team this season. They are currently ranked 8th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 808. The Cincinnati pitching staff have yielded 435 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.91 (395 earned runs surrendered). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.30 (837 strikeouts against 323 free passes). They have yielded 118 homers and they surrender 4.31 runs per 9 innings (16th in MLB).

Cincinnati has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 35 save opportunities and they have walked away with 24 saves. They are currently ranked 8th in MLB with a save percentage of 68.6%, and they have dispatched 346 relievers to the hill so far this season. Their relievers have come in 88 times in high leverage situations and on 85 occasions with base runners. Cincinnati relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 34.3% out of 134 inherited base runners. Sitting with 100 save situations, the Reds have earned 63 holds and 11 blown saves.

The Cincinnati Reds have gotten 59 double plays and have a fielding rate of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Reds have recorded 779 assists, 52 errors and have accumulated 2,726 putouts for the year. In their 8,178 innings played, the Reds hold a defensive efficiency of 71.3% (6th in the majors).

So far in his pro baseball career, Singer has surrendered 795 base hits and he has 738 punch outs in 787 frames. Singer (43-52 career win-loss mark) has earned a 4.36 ERA and has allowed 9.1 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed a total of 381 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.335 and having a FIP of 4.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.88 and he has faced 3,378 opposing hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Cincinnati (-182)

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