Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros Prediction, 6/1/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Houston Astros

Date: Sunday, June 1, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+110) Houston (-130)

The Tampa Bay Rays (29-27) are traveling to Daikin Park on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the Houston Astros (30-26). The moneyline on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +110 while Houston is coming in at -130. The over/under is 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Taj Bradley and Hunter Brown.

The Rays have recorded 85 doubles as a team and have hit 54 balls out of the stadium. Tampa Bay is slugging .382 and have been called out on strikes 463 times, while taking a walk on 170 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.3 runs/g, which has them sitting at 16th in the league. They have 229 RBI's as well as 462 base knocks so far this season, and their team batting average is sitting at .247. They have earned a total of 239 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .312.

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The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.57 on the year (9th in the league), and the staff has struck out 427 hitters. Rays pitchers have conceded 75 home runs and 209 total runs (9th in MLB). They have walked 153 opposing hitters and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a unit so far this season. Tampa Bay has conceded 436 base hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 199 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.79 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.18.

The Rays have dispatched 177 relief pitchers to the hill on the year. The relief pitchers have inherited 42 base runners for the year with 40.5% of them ended up scoring. They have tallied 14 saves for the year and have not converted 6 of 20 save opportunities. The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save percentage of 70.0% and have come into the game in 52 save situations. The relief pitchers have racked up 31 holds on the campaign (17th in the league). Rays bullpen pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 28 times in addition to having 53 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 72.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 4,515 innings on the field, ranking them 1st in pro baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have accounted for 1,505 putouts on the year, in addition to 539 assists and 23 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .989 which puts them in 4th in the majors, and have 65 double plays.

Bradley has thrown 305 innings and has totaled 337 punch outs in his pro baseball career. Bradley (17-23 career mark) has a FIP of 4.62 while going up against 1,302 hitters in the majors. His earned run average is 4.69 (159 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.290. He has allowed 283 base hits (8.3 hits per nine innings) and has had 111 free passes.

The Houston Astros have an OBP of .323 in addition to a team batting average of .255 this year. They have struck out on 424 occasions (26th in baseball) and have a total of 476 hits. Houston has 56 HRs on the year to go along with 223 RBIs. The Astros hold a slugging percentage of .394 and they average 4.16 runs per outing (19th in MLB). They have recorded 79 two-baggers, while taking a walk 167 times and scoring 233 runs.

The Houston pitching staff have surrendered 207 runs for the season and come in with a team ERA of 3.55 (194 earned runs surrendered). They have yielded 53 long balls and they concede 3.79 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Astros hold a team WHIP of 1.168 and have a FIP of 3.51 as a unit so far this year. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.70 (530 strikeouts vs 175 walks). They have a ranking of 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits given up with 400.

Houston bullpen pitchers have an inherited score rate of 30.3% out of their 66 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 49 times in high leverage situations and also on 44 occasions with runners on. With 55 save situations, the Astros have tallied 34 holds and 6 blown saves. They rank 5th in MLB with a save percentage of 71.4%, and they have dispatched 177 relievers onto the diamond this year. Houston has had relief pitchers step onto the hill in 21 save opportunities and they have tallied 15 saves.

The Houston Astros have turned 31 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .987 (11th in pro baseball). The Astros have racked up 410 assists, 24 errors and have a tally of 1,477 putouts over the course of the season. In their 4,431 innings played, the Astros have accumulated a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (8th in baseball).

So far in his career, Brown has given up 374 base hits while totaling 458 K's in 413 frames. Brown (31-25 career mark) has a 3.72 ERA and has conceded 8.1 hits per nine innings. He has given up a total of 171 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.239 and a FIP of 3.7. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.32 and he has faced 1,710 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+110)

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