Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 5/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-130) Miami (+110)

The Miami Marlins (16-26) will go up against the Tampa Bay Rays (19-23) at loanDepot park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at -130 and the Marlins are at +110. The total has been set at 9. The starting pitchers are Drew Rasmussen and Edward Cabrera.

As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 3.9 runs per game, which is 23rd in MLB. They have a total of 162 runs scored and hold an OBP of .309. The Rays have accounted for 60 doubles as a unit and have smacked 35 balls out of the park. They have accumulated 154 RBI's in addition to 338 hits this season, while their batting average sits at .241. Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .363 and have been called out on strikes 358 times, while taking a walk on 134 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.74 and their pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.20. Rays pitchers have given up 59 home runs and 171 total runs (10th in baseball). Tampa Bay has allowed 332 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) and 162 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.86 for the season (13th in baseball), and their staff has rung up 331 batters. They have walked 121 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.45 as a squad on the season.

The Rays relief pitchers have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and have come into the game in 40 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 33 runners this year with 39.4% of those players earned a run for their team. Rays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on 22 times as well as having 49 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 138 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relief pitchers have notched 22 holds on the year (21st in MLB). They have accumulated 12 saves this season and have blown 6 out of their 18 save chances.

The Rays have turned 72.3% of balls in play into outs in their 3,399 innings, which has them sitting 3rd in professional baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 1,133 putouts this year, as well as 400 assists and 19 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .988 which has them sitting 11th in pro baseball, and have a total of 45 double plays.

Rasmussen has taken the ball for 350 innings and is sitting with 336 punch outs during his MLB career. His earned run average is 3.01 (117 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.085. He has surrendered 288 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) with 92 walks. Rasmussen (21-16 career win-loss mark) is the owner of a FIP of 2.96 and he has gone up against 1,413 hitters in the major leagues.

The Marlins hold a team slugging percentage of .382 and they average 4.12 runs per contest (18th in MLB). They have recorded 66 two-baggers, while taking a walk 127 times as well as putting up 173 runs. Miami has hit 40 long balls on the year as well as 165 RBIs. They have struck out on 368 occasions (11th in the league) and have earned a total of 351 hits. The Miami Marlins hold an on-base percentage of .309 in addition to a batting average of .244 this year.

The Marlins have a team WHIP of 1.505 in addition to having a FIP of 4.88 as a squad this year. They rank 25th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits relinquished with 384. The Miami pitching staff have yielded 244 runs so far this season while holding a team ERA of 5.54 (229 earned runs surrendered). Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.00 (330 strikeouts vs 176 bases on balls). They have given up 57 homers and they yield 5.90 runs per 9 innings (29th in MLB).

With 35 save situations, the Marlins have accumulated 21 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. Miami has called on relief pitchers to enter the contest in 14 save chances and they have earned 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 52 times in high leverage situations and on 46 occasions with runners on. Miami relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 33.8% out of their 65 inherited runners. They sit at 25th in MLB with a save rate of 50.0%, and they have dispatched 145 relief pitchers onto the diamond so far this year.

In 3,354 innings on the diamond, the Marlins have a efficiency on defense of 68.5% (22nd in MLB). The Miami Marlins have gotten 31 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (13th in MLB). The Marlins have recorded 370 assists, 21 errors and have earned 1,118 putouts over the course of the season.

Cabrera (17-23 career record) has a 4.43 earned run average while conceding 7.2 hits per nine innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 1.96 and he has faced 1,394 opposing hitters in his pro baseball career. He has given up 159 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.365 and a FIP of 4.4. In his career, Cabrera has allowed 260 base hits and he has 354 K's in 323 innings pitched.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-130)

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