Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/13/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, June 13, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+150) New York (-182)

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-32) are headed to Citi Field on Friday where they will take on the New York Mets (44-24). The moneyline on this matchup has Tampa Bay at +150 and New York is at -182. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The expected starting pitchers will be Taj Bradley and Clay Holmes.

Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .389 and have been called out on strikes 575 times, while being walked on 205 occasions. They have amassed 286 runs batted in and 557 base knocks for the season, while their team batting average sits at .245. The Rays have accounted for 107 doubles as a unit and have hit 71 balls out of the park. They have 301 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .311. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 11th in baseball.

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Their K/BB ratio is 3.05 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17. Rays pitchers have given up 90 long balls and also 254 total runs (7th in MLB). Tampa Bay has relinquished 534 base hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 240 earned runs. The Rays have a team earned run average of 3.54 for the season (8th in baseball), and their staff has struck out 543 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 178 batters and their FIP is 4.22 as a team for the year.

The Rays relief pitchers have recorded a save rate of 61.5% and have entered the game in 69 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 54 base runners over the course of the season with 40.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Rays pitchers have come into the game with opponents on base 39 times in addition to having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 213 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season. The relief pitchers are sitting with 42 holds for the year (14th in the league). They have accumulated 16 saves so far this year and have blown 10 out of their 26 save opportunities.

The Tampa Bay Rays have accumulated 1,828 putouts on the year, in addition to 647 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .988 which ranks 9th in MLB, and they have turned 74 double plays. The Rays have converted 71.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 5,484 innings, ranking them 3rd in MLB.

Bradley has taken the mound for 316 frames and has earned 349 strikeouts during his pro baseball career. Bradley (17-24 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.65 and he has faced 1,348 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 4.72 (166 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.286. He has surrendered 292 base knocks (8.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 115 walks.

New York has accumulated 87 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 306 RBIs. They have put up 115 doubles, while taking a walk 248 times as well as putting up 315 runs. The New York Mets have accounted for an on-base percentage of .331 and a batting average of .249 for the year. The Mets have a team SLG% of .426 and they earn 4.63 runs per outing (8th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 522 occasions (24th in baseball) and have earned a total of 565 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have given up 221 runs on the season and come in with a team ERA of 2.82 (190 earned runs allowed). They have relinquished 48 homers and they allow 3.28 runs per 9 innings (1st in baseball). The Mets have a WHIP of 1.227 with a FIP of 3.41 as a squad so far this year. They have earned a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (607 strikeouts vs 237 walks). They have a ranking of 6th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 508.

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the game in 33 save opportunities and they have come away with 21 saves. They are ranked 16th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.6%, and they have sent 210 bullpen pitchers to the mound so far this year. Their relief pitchers have come in 91 times in high leverage situations in addition to 65 occasions with runners on base. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 24.2% out of their 95 inherited base runners. With 83 save situations, the Mets have accumulated 50 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.

Out of their 5,466 innings on the diamond, the Mets have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in baseball). The New York Mets have gotten 56 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in baseball). The Mets have accrued 609 assists, 32 errors and have notched a total of 1,822 putouts for the year.

So far in his pro baseball career, Holmes has allowed 350 base knocks while he has earned 425 K's in 410 innings pitched. He has given up a total of 163 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.282 and a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.41 and he has faced 1,763 batters in his pro baseball career. Holmes (31-25 career record) has earned a 3.58 ERA and has surrendered 7.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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