Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets Prediction, 6/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Mets

Date: Sunday, June 15, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+150) New York (-182)

The Tampa Bay Rays (36-32) are traveling to Citi Field on Sunday where they will attempt to beat the New York Mets (45-24). The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at +150 and the Mets are sitting at -182. The over/under is 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Shane Baz and Griffin Canning.

The Rays have accounted for 107 doubles as a unit and have hit 71 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay is slugging .389 and have struck out 575 times, while drawing a walk on 205 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are compiling 4.4 runs per outing, which is 11th in baseball. They have accounted for 286 runs batted in as well as 557 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .245. They have tallied 301 runs while holding a team OBP of .311.

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The Rays have an earned run average of 3.54 on the campaign (8th in the league), and their staff has rung up 543 hitters. Rays pitchers have yielded 90 long balls and 254 total runs (7th in baseball). They have walked 178 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.22 as a team on the campaign. Tampa Bay has surrendered 534 hits (7.9 per 9 innings) as well as 240 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 3.05 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17.

The Rays relief pitchers have a save rate of 61.5% and have entered the game in 69 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 54 base runners this year with 40.7% of those runners earned a run for their team. Rays relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 39 times as well as having 67 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have sent 213 relievers to the mound over the course of the season. The bullpen have a total of 42 holds over the course of the season (14th in the league). They have accumulated 16 saves so far this year and have blown 10 of 26 save opportunities.

The Rays have turned 71.9% of baseballs in play into outs in their 5,484 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 3rd in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 1,828 putouts this year, in addition to 647 assists and 31 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .988 which ranks 8th in professional baseball, and they have turned 74 double plays.

Baz has pitched in 189 innings and has totaled 182 punch outs during his career. Baz (12-8 career mark) is the owner of a FIP of 3.93 while he has gone up against 786 batters in the majors. His earned run average is 3.99 (84 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.183. He has surrendered 159 base knocks (7.6 hits per 9 innings) and has 65 walks.

New York has a total of 89 long balls this season to go along with 310 runs batted in. They have 117 two-baggers, while taking a walk 253 times as well as putting up 319 runs. The New York Mets hold an on-base percentage of .332 in addition to a team batting average of .248 so far this season. The Mets hold a team SLG% of .427 and they tally 4.62 runs per contest (7th in MLB). They have been called out on strikes on 528 instances (24th in MLB) and have earned a total of 572 hits.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 224 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 2.80 (192 earned runs given up). They have conceded 48 homers and they relinquish 3.27 runs per 9 innings (1st in the league). The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.224 and have a FIP of 3.39 as a pitching staff this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (613 strikeouts against 239 walks). They are currently ranked 6th in the league as a staff in total hits surrendered with 515.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.5% out of 98 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 92 times in high leverage situations and on 67 occasions with base runners. Sitting with 84 save situations, the Mets have tallied 50 holds and 12 blown saves. They rank 14th in MLB with a save rate of 64.7%, and they have dispatched 214 relievers to the hill on the year. New York has had bullpen pitchers step onto the mound in 34 save chances and they have walked away with 22 saves.

The New York Mets have turned 57 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .987 (14th in professional baseball). The Mets have accrued 619 assists, 32 errors and have accounted for 1,849 putouts during this campaign. Out of their 5,547 innings on the diamond, the Mets are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (14th in baseball).

In his pro baseball career, Canning has surrendered 553 base knocks while he has tallied 544 strikeouts in 572 innings. He has allowed a total of 293 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.335 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.58 and he has gone up against 2,448 batters during his career. Canning (31-36 career mark) has a 4.61 ERA and has conceded 8.7 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take New York (-182)

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