Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/4/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Sunday, May 4, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+172) New York (-210)

The New York Yankees (18-13) will try to beat the Tampa Bay Rays (14-17) at Yankee Stadium on Sunday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +172 while the Yankees are opening at -210. The over/under comes in at 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Taj Bradley and Will Warren.

The Rays have accrued 51 doubles as a team and have knocked 27 balls out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .381 and have been called out on strikes 257 times, while drawing a walk on 96 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 3.9 runs per game, which has them at 21st in baseball. They have accrued 116 RBI's as well as 257 base knocks over the course of the season, and their team batting average comes in at .248. They are sitting with 121 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .313.

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The Rays have compiled a team earned run average of 3.57 on the season (9th in the league), and they have struck out 259 hitters. Rays pitchers have given up 41 home runs and 118 total runs (7th in the league). They have walked 87 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.19 as a team so far this year. Tampa Bay has surrendered 243 hits (7.8 per 9 innings) and 111 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.18.

Rays pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 11 times and also have had 28 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have a total of 14 holds for the season (24th in MLB). The Rays bullpen have a save percentage of 72.7% and have come into the game in 25 save situations. They have earned 8 saves this year and have not converted 3 of their 11 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 16 runners for the year and 56.3% of those players ended up scoring. The Rays have sent 95 relief pitchers to the mound this year.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 839 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 294 assists and 12 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .990 which is 2nd in pro baseball, and they have turned 34 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.9% of balls in play into outs out of 2,517 innings, which has them sitting at 7th in professional baseball.

Bradley has thrown 277 innings and has earned 312 strikeouts in his career. His earned run average is 4.74 (146 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.302. He has given up 260 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 101 free passes. Bradley (15-21 career mark) has earned a FIP of 4.67 while he has gone up against 1,185 hitters in the major leagues.

The New York Yankees have compiled an OBP of .351 and a batting average of .267 so far this season. They have been rung up on 296 occasions (3rd in baseball) and have earned 283 hits. New York is sitting with 53 long balls this year and 171 runs batted in. The Yankees hold a team slugging percentage of .478 and they earn 5.71 runs per game (2nd in the league). They have tallied 56 doubles, while walking 124 times and putting up 177 runs.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 125 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.72 (112 earned runs surrendered). They have allowed 30 home runs and they give up 4.15 runs per 9 innings (11th in the league). The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.196 and have a FIP of 3.82 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 9.40 (283 strikeouts against 121 walks). They are sitting at 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 203.

New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 12 save chances and they have earned 9 saves. They are ranked 6th in MLB holding a save percentage of 75.0%, and they have dispatched 98 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond on the year. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 23 times in high leverage situations in addition to 34 occasions with base runners. New York relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 14.9% of 47 inherited base runners. With 31 save situations, the Yankees have 19 holds and 3 blown saves.

Out of their 2,439 innings on the diamond, the Yankees are sitting with a efficiency on defense of 73.4% (2nd in baseball). The New York Yankees have gotten 19 double plays and have a fielding rate of .986 (14th in the majors). The Yankees have racked up 261 assists, 15 errors and have accounted for 813 putouts so far this season.

During his pro baseball career, Warren has surrendered 55 hits and he has 55 K's in 46 innings pitched. Warren (1-4 record in his career) is the owner of a 7.99 ERA while surrendering 10.7 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 41 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.667 and having a FIP of 7.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.50 and he has faced 215 hitters during his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+172)

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