Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Monday, July 28, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+162) New York (-196)

Yankee Stadium is where the New York Yankees (56-46) will play the Tampa Bay Rays (53-50) on Monday. The odds on this game have the Rays at +162 while the Yankees are opening at -196. The total is set at 8.5. The pitchers expected to start will be Drew Rasmussen and Max Fried.

Tampa Bay owns a slugging percentage of .406 and have been rung up 851 times, while taking a walk on 314 occasions. They have tallied 453 RBI's in addition to 895 hits this season, while their batting average is sitting at .258. The Rays have accrued 158 doubles as a unit and have hit 113 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 483 runs while holding a team OBP of .322. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are scoring 4.7 runs/g, which has them sitting at 9th in MLB.

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The Rays hold a team ERA of 3.85 this season (12th in the league), and the staff has rung up 854 batters. Rays pitchers have surrendered 135 home runs and also 419 runs in total (10th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 287 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.22 as a team on the year. Tampa Bay has allowed 815 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 392 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.98 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.20.

Rays relief pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on 73 times in addition to having 95 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen are sitting with 57 holds so far this year (15th in the league). The Rays bullpen have a save percentage of 57.5% and have come into the game in 98 save situations. They have 23 saves so far this year and have not converted 17 of their 40 chances to get a save. The relievers have inherited 108 base runners for the year with 36.1% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have sent 320 relievers to the hill on the campaign.

The Rays have turned 71.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,250 innings on the field, which has them sitting 4th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have a tally of 2,750 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 931 assists and 47 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .987 which ranks 9th in professional baseball, and have accumulated 100 double plays.

Rasmussen (27-17 career mark) sits with a FIP of 2.91 while he has faced 1,626 opposing hitters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 331 hits (7.4 hits per 9 innings) and has 105 walks. His earned run average is 2.95 (133 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.076. Rasmussen has pitched in 405 innings and has accumulated 383 punch outs so far in his pro baseball career.

New York has hit 163 long balls this year as well as 509 RBIs. They have hit 179 doubles, while walking 390 times as well as scoring 530 runs. The New York Yankees have a team OBP of .333 and a batting average of .254 over the course of the season. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .454 and they score 5.20 runs per contest (3rd in baseball). They have been rung up on 890 occasions (8th in MLB) and have recorded 880 hits.

The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.233 in addition to having a FIP of 3.95 as a pitching staff so far this season. They are sitting at 1st in MLB as a staff in total hits conceded with 765. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 424 runs on the year while having an ERA of 3.89 (389 earned runs conceded). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 9.00 (896 strikeouts against 345 walks). They have conceded 110 homers and they surrender 4.24 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league).

Sitting with 95 save situations, the Yankees have earned 56 holds and 11 blown saves. New York has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 38 save opportunities and they have recorded 27 saves. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 96 times in high leverage situations in addition to 110 occasions with base runners. New York bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 25.9% out of their 166 inherited base runners. They are ranked 3rd in the league holding a save rate of 71.1%, and they have dispatched 335 relief pitchers onto the diamond this season.

In their 8,106 innings played, the Yankees have earned a efficiency on defense of 71.3% (5th in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 65 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (20th in the majors). The Yankees have racked up 864 assists, 52 errors and have accounted for 2,702 putouts this year.

Fried (84-40 career mark) has a 3.02 ERA while allowing 7.9 hits per nine innings. His K/BB ratio is 3.55 and he has gone up against 4,129 hitters so far in his career. He has surrendered a total of 339 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.148 and having a FIP of 3.0. So far in his MLB career, Fried has allowed 885 hits while tallying 979 punch outs in 1,011 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+162)

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