Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees
Date: Tuesday, July 29, 2025
Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY
TV: YES
Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+172) New York (-210)
The Tampa Bay Rays (53-53) are on their way to Yankee Stadium on Tuesday where they will meet the New York Yankees (57-48). The line on this contest has the Rays at +172 while the Yankees are coming in at -210. The total is 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Joe Boyle and Max Fried.


Tampa Bay is slugging .403 and have been called out on strikes 871 times, while being walked on 322 occasions. They have accounted for 457 runs batted in and 906 hits on the campaign, and their average at the plate is at .256. The Rays have hit 160 doubles as a squad and have smacked 114 balls out of the stadium. They have earned a total of 487 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .321. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.6 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 10th in MLB.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.92 and their pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.22. Rays pitchers have given up 137 home runs and also 432 total runs (10th in the league). Tampa Bay has conceded 836 hits (8.1 per 9 innings) and also 403 earned runs. The Rays hold a team earned run average of 3.89 on the campaign (15th in MLB), and the staff has rung up 870 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 298 opposing batters and their FIP sits at 4.23 as a team this season.
Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on 74 times in addition to having 97 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have notched 57 holds for the season (16th in baseball). The Rays relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 57.5% and stepped onto the hill in 98 save situations. They have earned 23 saves for the year and have missed out on 17 of their 40 save chances. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 110 base runners on the campaign and 37.3% of them crossed home plate. The Rays have dispatched 325 relievers to the mound this year.
The Rays have turned 71.1% of balls in play into outs out of 8,394 innings, which ranks them 6th in baseball. The Tampa Bay Rays have amassed 2,798 putouts this year, in addition to 944 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .987 which ranks 11th in MLB, and they have turned 101 double plays.
Boyle (6-6 record in his career) has a FIP of 4.31 and he has faced 356 opposing batters in the majors. He has conceded 56 hits (6.1 hits per 9 innings) and has had 51 walks. His ERA is 4.38 (40 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.302. Boyle has taken the ball for 82 innings and has 89 K's so far in his pro baseball career.
The Yankees hold a team slugging % of .455 and they score 5.18 runs per contest (3rd in MLB). They have notched 179 doubles, while getting a free base 395 times as well as scoring 539 runs. New York has 168 home runs on the season as well as 517 RBIs. They have struck out on 909 instances (8th in the league) and have totaled 899 hits. The New York Yankees are sitting with an OBP of .333 as well as a batting average of .254 on the year.
The Yankees hold a team WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a staff this year. They come in at 2nd in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 792. The New York pitching staff have relinquished 445 runs for the year and come in with a team ERA of 4.01 (409 earned runs conceded). Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 8.90 (913 strikeouts vs 357 walks). They have conceded 115 long balls and they relinquish 4.36 runs per 9 innings (17th in the league).
New York has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have converted 27 saves. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball with a save rate of 69.2%, and they have dispatched 342 bullpen pitchers onto the field this year. Their bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill 97 times in high leverage situations and also on 113 occasions with runners on base. New York relievers hold an inherited score rate of 26.2% out of 172 inherited base runners. Sitting with 96 save situations, the Yankees have tallied 56 holds in addition to 12 blown saves.
In 8,268 innings on the field, the Yankees have earned a defensive efficiency of 71.1% (7th in pro baseball). The New York Yankees have turned 65 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .985 (22nd in baseball). The Yankees have racked up 883 assists, 55 errors and have 2,756 putouts on the campaign.
Fried (84-40 career record) has a 3.02 ERA and has surrendered 7.9 hits per nine innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.55 and he has faced 4,129 batters in his pro baseball career. He has allowed a total of 339 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.148 and a FIP of 3.0. Thus far in his career, Fried has allowed 885 hits and he has 979 K's in 1,011 innings pitched.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+172)
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Additional Resources:
New York Yankees - Twitter
Tampa Bay Rays - Twitter