Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 7/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (+125) New York (-150)

Yankee Stadium is the location where the New York Yankees (57-49) will take on the Tampa Bay Rays (54-53) on Wednesday. The moneyline on this game has Tampa Bay at +125 and New York opens at -150. The betting total comes in at 8. The expected starting pitchers are Zack Littell and Will Warren.

Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .402 and have struck out 890 times, while being walked on 328 occasions. They have tallied 462 runs batted in and 920 base knocks so far this season, and their average at the plate sits at .255. The Rays have tallied 161 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 116 balls out of the stadium. They have racked up 492 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .321. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are notching 4.6 runs per outing, which ranks them 10th in MLB.

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Their K/BB ratio is 2.94 and their pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.21. Rays pitchers have yielded 137 home runs in addition to 436 total runs (10th in the league). Tampa Bay has relinquished 847 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) as well as 407 earned runs. The Rays have compiled a team ERA of 3.86 for the year (14th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 888 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 302 opposing players and their FIP sits at 4.18 as a unit over the course of the season.

Rays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with players on base 75 times in addition to having 100 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have earned 59 holds this season (18th in baseball). The Rays bullpen have a save rate of 58.5% and have entered the game in 101 save situations. They have compiled 24 saves so far this season and have missed out on 17 out of their 41 chances to get a save. The relief pitchers have inherited 111 base runners for the year and 36.9% of those players ended up crossing the plate. The Rays have sent 331 relievers to the hill this season.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 2,849 putouts thus far, in addition to 960 assists and 48 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .988 which has them ranked 10th in the majors, and have earned 101 double plays. The Rays have turned 71.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 8,547 innings, which has them sitting at 6th in MLB.

Littell has thrown 544 innings and has accumulated 451 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His earned run average is 3.87 (234 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.230. He has surrendered 549 hits (9.1 hits per nine innings) with 120 walks. Littell (32-29 career mark) sits with a FIP of 3.81 while he has faced 2,271 opposing batters in the major leagues.

New York has hit 168 home runs over the course of the season to go along with 523 RBIs. They have tallied 180 doubles, while getting a free base 400 times as well as putting up 545 runs. The New York Yankees have a team on-base percentage of .332 and a batting average of .253 over the course of the season. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .451 and they earn 5.14 runs per game (3rd in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 928 occasions (7th in baseball) and have accounted for 911 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have given up 452 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 4.00 (416 earned runs conceded). They have conceded 119 home runs and they give up 4.35 runs per 9 innings (16th in baseball). The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.251 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a squad this year. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.00 (934 strikeouts vs 363 free passes). They rank 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 808.

New York relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.0% out of their 177 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 102 times in high leverage situations in addition to 116 occasions with runners on base. With 100 save situations, the Yankees have amassed 59 holds and 12 blown saves. They are currently ranked 4th in the league with a save percentage of 70.0%, and they have sent 351 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the season. New York has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 40 save chances and they have walked away with 28 saves.

In 8,430 innings on the field, the Yankees have a efficiency on defense of 71.1% (7th in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 66 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in MLB). The Yankees have racked up 894 assists, 55 errors and have earned a total of 2,810 putouts so far this season.

During his career, Warren has given up 134 hits and he has 153 punch outs in 126 frames. He has surrendered a total of 82 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.535 and having a FIP of 5.8. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.55 and he has faced 574 opposing hitters so far in his career. Warren (6-8 career mark) has a 5.84 earned run average while surrendering 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (+125)

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