Tampa Bay Rays vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 8/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Sacramento Athletics

Date: Monday, August 11, 2025

Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA

TV: NBC Sports California

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-182) Sacramento (+150)

Sutter Health Park is the site where the Sacramento Athletics (51-66) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (57-59) on Monday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rays at -182 and the Athletics are coming in at +150. The over/under is set at 8.5. The men taking the mound are Ryan Pepiot and Jeffrey Springs.

The Rays have hit 173 doubles as a unit and have smacked 126 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging rate of .399 and have struck out 982 times, while taking a walk on 344 occasions. As a unit, the Tampa Bay Rays are putting up 4.5 runs per game, which ranks them 11th in the league. They have earned 492 RBI's and 985 hits so far this year, while their team batting average is .252. They have earned 522 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .315.

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The Rays are sitting with a team ERA of 3.86 so far this season (14th in the league), and they have struck out 980 hitters. Rays pitchers have surrendered 147 long balls and 475 total runs (12th in the league). They have walked 330 players from the other team and their FIP is 4.16 as a team this year. Tampa Bay has conceded 917 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 441 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.97 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21.

The Rays bullpen have recorded a save percentage of 55.6% and have entered the game in 111 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 121 base runners on the season with 35.5% of those runners ended up crossing the plate. Rays pitchers have come into the game with runners on base 83 times in addition to having 112 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rays have dispatched 364 relief pitchers to the hill for the season. The bullpen have tallied 65 holds this season (15th in the league). They have 25 saves for the year and have not converted 20 out of their 45 save chances.

The Tampa Bay Rays have 3,086 putouts on the year, in addition to 1,032 assists and 54 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .987 which has them ranked 10th in the majors, and have accumulated 111 double plays. The Rays have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 9,258 innings on the field, which has them sitting 8th in baseball.

Pepiot (20-18 career win-loss record) has earned a FIP of 3.43 and he has gone up against 1,413 batters in the major leagues. He has conceded 269 base knocks (7.0 hits per nine innings) with 127 free passes. His ERA is 3.48 (133 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.151. Pepiot has thrown 344 innings and is sitting with 356 strikeouts during his pro baseball career.

The Athletics have a slugging percentage of .433 and they average 4.41 runs per game (13th in the league). They have recorded 204 doubles, while taking a walk 365 times as well as putting up 516 runs. Sacramento has 161 home runs for the season as well as 501 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 1,002 instances (8th in MLB) and have earned a total of 1,017 base knocks. The Sacramento Athletics are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .319 and a batting average of .254 so far this year.

The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.394 and have a FIP of 4.75 as a squad for the season. Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.20 (940 strikeouts vs 412 walks). They rank 27th in MLB as a staff in total hits surrendered with 1,032. They have yielded 166 homers and they relinquish 5.40 runs per 9 innings (28th in the league). The Sacramento pitching staff have allowed 622 runs this year while having an ERA of 4.96 (571 earned runs conceded).

Sacramento relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.0% out of 168 inherited runners. Their relief pitchers have come in 102 times in high leverage situations and also on 118 occasions with runners on. With 89 save situations, the Athletics have 47 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They rank 20th in MLB holding a save rate of 59.5%, and they have dispatched 363 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season. Sacramento has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 42 save opportunities and they have walked away with 25 saves.

The Sacramento Athletics have gotten 82 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .983 (25th in pro baseball). The Athletics have 869 assists, 69 errors and have a tally of 3,109 putouts this season. In their 9,327 innings played, the Athletics hold a defensive efficiency of 69.2% (22nd in pro baseball).

Springs (33-19 career record) has earned a 3.54 ERA while allowing 8.0 hits per 9 innings. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.24 and he has faced 1,862 hitters so far in his MLB career. He has allowed a total of 175 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.211 and a FIP of 3.5. In his MLB career, Springs has conceded 395 hits while he has totaled 466 strikeouts in 445 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Tampa Bay (-182)

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