Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals Prediction, 8/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Tampa Bay Rays vs Washington Nationals

Date: Friday, August 29, 2025

Location: Nationals Park in Washington, D.C.

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Tampa Bay (-210) Washington (+172)

The Washington Nationals (53-80) will try to defeat the Tampa Bay Rays (64-69) at Nationals Park on Friday. The line on this matchup has the Rays at -210 while the Nationals are priced at +172. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The starting pitchers will be Adrian Houser and Mitchell Parker.

The Rays have tallied 202 doubles as a team and have knocked 149 baseballs out of the park. Tampa Bay has a slugging percentage of .401 and have struck out 1,138 times, while drawing a walk on 386 occasions. As a squad, the Tampa Bay Rays are earning 4.5 runs/g, which has them sitting at 13th in the league. They have tallied 564 runs batted in and 1,129 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average is at .251. They have tallied 596 runs scored while holding a team OBP of .314.

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They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.02 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.21. Rays pitchers have surrendered 177 home runs in addition to 558 total runs (12th in MLB). Tampa Bay has allowed 1,047 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 518 earned runs. The Rays are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.96 on the campaign (15th in baseball), and they have struck out 1,142 hitters. They have walked 378 opposing hitters and their FIP sits at 4.24 as a unit this year.

The Rays have dispatched 418 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The relievers have inherited 135 runners so far this season and 32.6% of those runners ended up scoring. They have accumulated 28 saves for the season and have blown 22 of 50 save opportunities. The Rays relief pitchers have a save rate of 56.0% and have come into the game in 124 save situations. The bullpen are sitting with 73 holds on the year (16th in the league). Rays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 93 times in addition to having 124 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rays have converted 71.0% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 10,596 innings on the field, which has them sitting 5th in the majors. The Tampa Bay Rays have earned 3,532 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 1,178 assists and 62 errors. Their fielding rate is currently at .987 which puts them in 11th in the majors, and have a total of 122 double plays.

Houser has thrown 698 frames and has accumulated 546 strikeouts during his MLB career. Houser (39-43 win-loss record in his career) sits with a FIP of 3.99 and he has faced 2,994 opposing hitters in the majors. His ERA is 4.05 (314 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.367. He has surrendered 683 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) and has had 272 walks.

The Washington Nationals have accumulated an OBP of .309 in addition to a batting average of .243 for the year. They have been rung up on 1,062 occasions (22nd in the league) and are sitting with 1,084 base knocks. Washington has 126 home runs for the season to go along with 543 runs batted in. The Nationals hold a team slugging % of .387 and they average 4.25 runs per outing (21st in the league). They have recorded 219 two-baggers, while walking 382 times as well as recording 565 runs.

The Nationals hold a team WHIP of 1.451 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.70 as a squad this year. They have a ranking of 29th in the league as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 1,234. The Washington pitching staff have given up 736 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 5.38 (697 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 7.80 (1,014 strikeouts against 456 free passes). They have surrendered 174 home runs and they concede 5.69 runs per 9 innings (29th in the league).

With 97 save situations, the Nationals have tallied 55 holds and also 15 blown saves. Washington has had bullpen pitchers enter the game in 41 save opportunities and they have converted 26 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 101 times in high leverage situations in addition to 132 occasions with base runners. Washington relievers have an inherited score percentage of 39.7% of 224 inherited runners. They are ranked 13th in MLB with a save percentage of 63.4%, and they have dispatched 469 relievers onto the diamond for the season.

In their 10,488 innings on the field, the Nationals hold a defensive efficiency of 67.9% (29th in baseball). The Washington Nationals have gotten 103 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .985 (20th in professional baseball). The Nationals have recorded 1,129 assists, 71 errors and have 3,496 putouts during this campaign.

Thus far in his career, Parker has allowed 302 hits while he has earned 220 K's in 285 frames. He has given up a total of 162 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.396 and being the owner of a FIP of 5.0. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.29 and he has faced 1,248 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Parker (14-24 mark in his career) has earned a 5.11 ERA and has conceded 9.5 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Washington (+172)

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