Texas Rangers vs New York Mets Prediction, 9/12/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs New York Mets

Date: Friday, September 12, 2025

Location: Citi Field in Queens, NY

TV: Sportsnet New York

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (-182) New York (+150)

Citi Field is where the New York Mets (76-70) will attempt to beat the Texas Rangers (77-70) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at -182 while the Mets open at +150. The over/under has been set at 8. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jacob deGrom and Jonah Tong.

Texas has a slugging rate of .387 and have been called out on strikes 1,201 times, while drawing a walk on 450 occasions. They have accrued 606 RBI's and 1,165 hits for the year, and their team batting average comes in at .236. The Rangers have hit 224 two-baggers as a team and have hit 163 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 630 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .305. As a squad, the Texas Rangers are putting up 4.3 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 21st in baseball.

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The Rangers hold a team earned run average of 3.43 on the season (1st in baseball), and the staff has rung up 1,216 batters. Rangers pitchers have yielded 155 home runs in addition to 539 total runs (1st in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 424 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.90 as a squad over the course of the season. Texas has yielded 1,109 base knocks (7.6 per 9 innings) as well as 499 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and their pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.17.

The Rangers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 56.5% and have come into the game in 144 save situations. The relievers have inherited 224 base runners on the year with 31.3% of those runners crossed home plate. Rangers relief pitchers have come into the game with runners on 157 times and also have had 160 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have dispatched 464 relief pitchers to the hill on the season. The relievers have a total of 77 holds on the campaign (22nd in MLB). They have accumulated 35 saves so far this year and have missed out on 27 out of their 62 save opportunities.

The Texas Rangers have earned 3,925 putouts over the course of the season, as well as 1,263 assists and 46 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which has them ranked 1st in baseball, and they have turned 116 double plays. The Rangers have converted 72.2% of balls hit into play into outs out of 11,775 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 1st in MLB.

deGrom has taken the ball for 1,522 innings and has racked up 1,835 strikeouts during his MLB career. deGrom (95-64 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 2.51 and he has gone up against 5,981 batters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 2.55 (431 earned runs allowed) and his career WHIP is 0.988. He has given up 1,161 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 343 free passes.

The Mets hold a slugging percentage of .429 and they tally 4.73 runs per contest (10th in the league). They have tallied 242 doubles, while walking 517 times as well as putting up 690 runs. New York has knocked in 199 home runs this season as well as 673 runs batted in. They have struck out on 1,179 instances (22nd in the league) and have totaled 1,229 hits. The New York Mets have compiled a team OBP of .329 in addition to a team batting average of .250 so far this year.

The Mets hold a team WHIP of 1.332 with a FIP of 3.90 as a staff on the year. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 8.80 (1,258 strikeouts against 515 walks). They have a ranking of 15th in the league as a staff in total hits relinquished with 1,202. They have relinquished 133 homers and they concede 4.46 runs per 9 innings (18th in MLB). The New York pitching staff have given up 639 runs for the year while holding an ERA of 4.00 (573 earned runs surrendered).

New York has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 62 save chances and they have recorded 38 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in the league with a save percentage of 61.3%, and they have dispatched 473 relief pitchers to the hill for the year. Their relievers have come in 170 times in high leverage situations in addition to 156 occasions with runners on. New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 34.0% of 235 inherited runners. With 151 save situations, the Mets have compiled 89 holds and also 24 blown saves.

The New York Mets have gotten 107 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .987 (10th in the majors). The Mets have 1,305 assists, 67 errors and have amassed 3,867 putouts so far this year. In their 11,601 innings played, the Mets have a defensive efficiency of 68.9% (24th in MLB).

In his MLB career, Tong has surrendered 9 hits while he has totaled 12 K's in 11 frames. He has conceded a total of 5 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.182 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.0. He has a K/BB ratio of 3.00 and he has gone up against 46 opposing hitters thus far in his career. Tong (1-1 career record) is the owner of a 4.09 earned run average while giving up 7.4 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take New York (+150)

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