Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees Prediction, 5/21/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs New York Yankees

Date: Wednesday, May 21, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+120) New York (-144)

The New York Yankees (27-19) will try to defeat the Texas Rangers (25-23) at Yankee Stadium on Wednesday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at +120 while the Yankees are priced at -144. The betting total is set at 9. The men taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Ryan Yarbrough.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are notching 3.5 runs per game, which has them sitting at 26th in the league. They have racked up 166 runs scored and have an on-base percentage of .289. The Rangers have hit 59 two-baggers as a team and have hit 50 balls out of the park. They have recorded 163 RBI's in addition to 352 base knocks on the year, and their batting average is .227. Texas is slugging .368 and have been rung up 373 times, while being walked on 123 occasions.

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They have earned a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.13. Rangers pitchers have relinquished 39 home runs and also 165 total runs (5th in the league). Texas has allowed 344 hits (7.4 per 9 innings) and 151 earned runs. The Rangers hold a team earned run average of 3.24 so far this season (4th in the league), and they have struck out 375 batters. They have walked 131 opposing batters and their FIP comes in at 3.56 as a team this season.

Rangers bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with runners on base 46 times and also have had 47 appearances in high leverage situations. The relievers have a total of 31 holds for the year (10th in MLB). The Rangers bullpen have accumulated a save percentage of 66.7% and have stepped onto the mound in 54 save situations. They have accumulated 14 saves so far this season and have blown 7 of their 21 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 71 base runners this year with 32.4% of those players ended up scoring. The Rangers have sent 145 relievers to the hill on the year.

The Texas Rangers have earned 1,260 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 433 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .989 which has them ranked 4th in MLB, and they have turned 39 double plays. The Rangers have turned 72.4% of balls in play into outs out of their 3,780 innings, ranking them 4th in professional baseball.

deGrom (88-58 win-loss record in his career) has earned a FIP of 2.48 and he has faced 5,575 batters during his time in the majors. He has given up 1,090 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 319 walks. His ERA is 2.51 (396 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 0.994. deGrom has taken the hill for 1,418 frames and is sitting with 1,719 punch outs during his career.

The Yankees hold a slugging percentage of .475 and they score 5.78 runs per contest (1st in baseball). They have recorded 87 two-baggers, while getting a free base 192 times and racking up 266 runs. New York has 79 home runs this year as well as 255 RBIs. They have struck out on 412 occasions (7th in MLB) and are sitting with 411 base hits. The New York Yankees have an OBP of .347 in addition to a team batting average of .261 this year.

The New York pitching staff have surrendered 176 runs over the course of the season while having an ERA of 3.54 (160 earned runs conceded). They have given up 39 home runs and they concede 3.89 runs per 9 innings (9th in the league). The Yankees have a WHIP of 1.174 and have a FIP of 3.58 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.50 (428 strikeouts vs 171 free passes). They rank 1st in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 307.

New York relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 25.7% of 70 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 44 times in high leverage situations and also on 49 occasions with base runners. With 43 save situations, the Yankees have recorded 25 holds and 6 blown saves. They are ranked 9th in the league holding a save rate of 66.7%, and they have dispatched 149 relief pitchers to the mound on the year. New York has had relievers take the mound in 18 save chances and they have walked away with 12 saves.

In 3,663 innings played, the Yankees hold a defensive efficiency of 72.8% (2nd in the majors). The New York Yankees have gotten 27 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in baseball). The Yankees have recorded 383 assists, 23 errors and have a tally of 1,221 putouts for the year.

In his MLB career, Yarbrough has conceded 753 hits and he has 619 strikeouts in 792 innings pitched. Yarbrough (54-40 win-loss mark in his career) has a 4.19 earned run average and has allowed 8.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed a total of 369 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.187 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.1. His K/BB ratio is 3.31 and he has gone up against 3,310 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+120)

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