Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres Prediction, 7/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs San Diego Padres

Date: Saturday, July 5, 2025

Location: Petco Park in San Diego, CA

TV: Padres.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+110) San Diego (-132)

The San Diego Padres (46-40) will try to defeat the Texas Rangers (43-44) at Petco Park on Saturday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at +110 and the Padres are at -132. The betting total comes in at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound will be Jack Leiter and Stephen Kolek.

Texas has a slugging rate of .368 and have been rung up 713 times, while being walked on 252 occasions. They have recorded 316 runs batted in as well as 661 hits for the year, and their team batting average is at .229. The Rangers have earned 121 doubles as a team and have smacked 88 baseballs out of the park. They are sitting with 330 runs scored while having a team OBP of .296. As a unit, the Texas Rangers are compiling 3.8 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 25th in MLB.

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The Rangers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.23 for the season (1st in baseball), and they have rung up 686 hitters. Rangers pitchers have conceded 75 long balls and 304 runs in total (1st in baseball). They have walked 239 opposing batters and their FIP is 3.60 as a unit for the year. Texas has surrendered 647 hits (7.5 per 9 innings) as well as 277 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.87 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.15.

The Rangers relief pitchers have earned a save rate of 64.9% and have entered the game in 90 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 122 base runners on the year with 33.6% of those players crossed home plate. Rangers relief pitchers have entered the contest with opponents on base 89 times and also have had 94 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 268 relievers to the mound for the year. The relief pitchers have recorded 50 holds this year (14th in MLB). They have tallied 24 saves this year and have missed out on 13 out of their 37 chances to get a save.

The Texas Rangers have earned 2,316 putouts so far this season, in addition to 772 assists and 27 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .991 which is 1st in professional baseball, and have a total of 67 double plays. The Rangers have turned 72.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 6,948 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 1st in baseball.

Leiter has thrown 106 frames and has accounted for 89 strikeouts thus far in his career. Leiter (4-8 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 5.75 and he has faced 477 hitters during his time in the majors. His earned run average is 5.84 (69 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.449. He has given up 105 base hits (8.9 hits per nine innings) and has 49 walks.

The San Diego Padres have recorded a team OBP of .314 and a team batting average of .245 on the season. They have been called out on strikes on 605 instances (28th in baseball) and have earned a total of 700 hits. San Diego has tallied 73 home runs for the year and 328 runs batted in. The Padres hold a team SLG% of .374 and they score 4.09 runs per game (23rd in the league). They have hit 127 doubles, while getting a free base 276 times and scoring 352 runs.

The Padres hold a team WHIP of 1.236 in addition to having a FIP of 3.84 as a unit this season. They rank 5th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits conceded with 656. The San Diego pitching staff have surrendered 341 runs for the season while holding a team ERA of 3.68 (310 earned runs yielded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.80 (746 strikeouts against 282 free passes). They have allowed 86 long balls and they allow 4.04 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league).

With 98 save situations, the Padres have amassed 57 holds and also 11 blown saves. San Diego has had relief pitchers enter the contest in 40 save opportunities and they have earned 29 saves. Their relievers have come in 119 times in high leverage situations in addition to 96 occasions with runners on base. San Diego relief pitchers have an inherited score rate of 35.6% of 135 inherited base runners. They sit at 4th in baseball with a save percentage of 72.5%, and they have sent 300 relievers to the hill for the year.

The San Diego Padres have gotten 60 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .986 (17th in MLB). The Padres have 652 assists, 42 errors and have accounted for 2,277 putouts this year. In their 6,831 innings on the field, the Padres are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 70.8% (10th in professional baseball).

So far in his MLB career, Kolek has surrendered 116 hits while tallying 86 strikeouts in 108 innings pitched. Kolek (6-3 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 4.40 ERA while surrendering 9.6 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 53 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.375 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.3. His K/BB ratio is 2.61 and he has faced 472 opposing batters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take San Diego (-132)

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