Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners Prediction, 8/3/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Seattle Mariners

Date: Sunday, August 3, 2025

Location: T-Mobile Park in Seattle, WA

TV: Root Sports Northwest

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+150) Seattle (-182)

The Seattle Mariners (58-52) will try to defeat the Texas Rangers (57-53) at T-Mobile Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Rangers at +150 and the Mariners are priced at -182. The over/under has been set at 8.5. The men taking the mound will be Merrill Kelly and Logan Evans.

As a team, the Texas Rangers are notching 4.1 runs per game, which has them sitting at 23rd in baseball. They have earned 452 runs while having a team on-base percentage of .300. The Rangers have tallied 159 two-baggers as a team and have knocked 116 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 432 runs batted in and 849 base knocks on the year, and their team batting average is sitting at .232. Texas has a slugging percentage of .377 and have been rung up 916 times, while being walked on 328 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.82 and the pitching staff holds a WHIP of 1.17. Rangers pitchers have conceded 100 home runs and 386 runs in total (1st in the league). Texas has surrendered 821 hits (7.6 per 9 innings) and 351 earned runs. The Rangers are sitting with a team earned run average of 3.24 on the year (1st in the league), and they have struck out 896 hitters. They have walked 318 opposing players and their FIP sits at 3.66 as a squad for the year.

The Rangers have sent 341 relievers to the mound this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 161 base runners on the campaign with 32.9% of those players ended up scoring. They have earned 28 saves for the season and have blown 19 of 47 save chances. The Rangers relief pitchers have a save percentage of 59.6% and have come into the game in 111 save situations. The relief pitchers have recorded 61 holds on the campaign (18th in the league). Rangers pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 112 times as well as having 122 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Rangers have transformed 72.1% of balls in play into outs out of 8,787 innings on the field, which ranks them 1st in pro baseball. The Texas Rangers have notched a total of 2,929 putouts on the campaign, as well as 956 assists and 36 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .991 which puts them in 1st in professional baseball, and they have turned 86 double plays.

Kelly has taken the mound for 952 frames and has earned 865 punch outs during his MLB career. Kelly (62-50 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a FIP of 3.69 and he has faced 3,909 hitters during his time in the major leagues. His ERA is 3.74 (396 ER's allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.195. He has surrendered 848 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 290 free passes.

Seattle has recorded 154 home runs so far this year as well as 478 runs batted in. They have 149 doubles, while taking a walk 369 times and notching 498 runs. The Seattle Mariners are sitting with a team on-base percentage of .320 in addition to a batting average of .245 over the course of the season. The Mariners hold a team SLG% of .410 and they earn 4.53 runs per game (12th in MLB). They have struck out on 973 occasions (4th in MLB) and have notched a total of 921 base hits.

The Mariners hold a team WHIP of 1.253 in addition to having a FIP of 4.02 as a unit for the year. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.40 (928 strikeouts against 338 bases on balls). They rank 21st in MLB as a staff in total hits allowed with 909. They have conceded 124 homers and they concede 4.30 runs per 9 innings (15th in MLB). The Seattle pitching staff have given up 476 runs on the campaign and come in with a team ERA of 3.85 (426 earned runs yielded).

Seattle has had bullpen pitchers step onto the hill in 45 save chances and they have tallied 26 saves. They rank 23rd in baseball with a save rate of 57.8%, and they have sent 365 bullpen pitchers to the mound for the year. Their relievers have come in 152 times in high leverage situations and on 92 occasions with runners on. Seattle relievers have an inherited score rate of 26.0% out of 100 inherited base runners. With 103 save situations, the Mariners have accumulated 58 holds in addition to 19 blown saves.

The Seattle Mariners have turned 86 double plays and have a fielding rate of .989 (4th in baseball). The Mariners have recorded 938 assists, 44 errors and have earned a total of 2,987 putouts this year. In their 8,961 innings on the field, the Mariners have earned a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in the majors).

Evans (4-4 career record) has a 4.22 ERA and has allowed 9.7 hits per 9 innings. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.17 and he has faced 280 opposing hitters so far in his MLB career. He has conceded 30 ER's while holding a WHIP of 1.438 and having a FIP of 4.2. During his pro baseball career, Evans has given up 69 hits and he has 50 strikeouts in 64 frames.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Seattle (-182)

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