Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays Prediction, 8/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Texas Rangers vs Toronto Blue Jays

Date: Friday, August 15, 2025

Location: Rogers Centre in Toronto, ON

TV: Sportsnet

Odds/Point Spread: Texas (+120) Toronto (-144)

The Toronto Blue Jays (70-51) host the Texas Rangers (61-61) at Rogers Centre on Friday. The line on this matchup has Texas at +120 while Toronto is priced at -144. The over/under is set at 8.5. The pitchers taking the mound are Jacob deGrom and Chris Bassitt.

The Rangers have tallied 183 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 126 balls out of the park. Texas is slugging .375 and have been called out on strikes 1,011 times, while drawing a walk on 363 occasions. As a unit, the Texas Rangers are earning 4.1 runs per game, which has them at 25th in baseball. They have accrued 473 runs batted in in addition to 944 base knocks so far this year, and their team batting average is sitting at .232. They have tallied 495 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .299.

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The Rangers have compiled a team earned run average of 3.32 so far this season (1st in baseball), and their staff has rung up 1,000 batters. Rangers pitchers have given up 121 home runs in addition to 438 runs (1st in baseball). They have walked 362 players from the other team and their FIP is 3.82 as a unit for the year. Texas has conceded 911 base hits (7.5 per 9 innings) and 401 earned runs. Their K/BB ratio is 2.76 and the pitching staff has recorded a WHIP of 1.17.

The Rangers relievers have compiled a save rate of 55.8% and have come into the game in 121 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 176 base runners for the year and 31.3% of them ended up scoring. Rangers pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 127 times and also have had 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The Rangers have sent 382 relief pitchers to the hill so far this year. The bullpen are sitting with 66 holds over the course of the season (19th in MLB). They have accumulated 29 saves this year and have blown 23 out of their 52 chances to get a save.

The Texas Rangers are sitting with 3,259 putouts at this point in the season, in addition to 1,054 assists and 41 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .991 which ranks 2nd in baseball, and they have turned 96 double plays. The Rangers have transformed 72.3% of balls hit into play into outs in their 9,777 innings, ranking them 1st in MLB.

deGrom (94-62 win-loss mark in his career) sits with a FIP of 2.51 and he has faced 5,901 hitters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 1,149 hits (6.9 hits per 9 innings) and has 338 free passes. His earned run average is 2.55 (426 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 0.990. deGrom has taken the hill for 1,502 innings and has accounted for 1,809 K's in his career.

The Toronto Blue Jays are sitting with a team OBP of .338 and a batting average of .269 this season. They have been called out on strikes on 810 instances (30th in MLB) and have totaled 1,113 base knocks. Toronto has recorded 139 home runs on the year and 565 runs batted in. The Blue Jays hold a team SLG% of .427 and they average 4.87 runs per game (7th in MLB). They have recorded 221 doubles, while getting a free base 402 times and notching 589 runs.

The Toronto pitching staff have given up 544 runs this season while having a team ERA of 4.24 (505 earned runs yielded). They have given up 163 homers and they allow 4.57 runs per 9 innings (21st in baseball). The Blue Jays have a WHIP of 1.261 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.32 as a team on the season. Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 9.00 (1,072 strikeouts vs 382 walks). They sit at 11th in the league as a staff in total hits allowed with 970.

Toronto relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 30.0% out of 180 inherited base runners. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 119 times in high leverage situations and on 123 occasions with runners on base. Sitting with 128 save situations, the Blue Jays have amassed 73 holds in addition to 19 blown saves. They rank 12th in the league holding a save rate of 64.2%, and they have sent 415 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the year. Toronto has had relief pitchers take the mound in 53 save chances and they have converted 34 saves.

Out of their 9,654 innings on the diamond, the Blue Jays have a defensive efficiency of 70.3% (12th in baseball). The Toronto Blue Jays have gotten 85 double plays and have a fielding rate of .984 (23rd in the majors). The Blue Jays have racked up 888 assists, 65 errors and have a total of 3,218 putouts so far this year.

In his pro baseball career, Bassitt has surrendered 1,152 base knocks while earning 1,153 punch outs in 1,241 innings. Bassitt (83-62 win-loss mark in his career) holds a 3.65 earned run average while allowing 8.4 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered a total of 504 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.244 and a FIP of 3.6. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.94 and he has faced 5,252 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Texas (+120)

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