Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/27/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Friday, June 27, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-275) Boston (+220)

Fenway Park is the location where the Boston Red Sox (40-42) will compete against the Toronto Blue Jays (42-37) on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has Toronto at -275 while Boston is sitting at +220. The total is 8. The pitchers taking the mound are Jose Berrios and Brayan Bello.

Toronto has a slugging % of .400 and have been rung up 534 times, while taking a walk on 256 occasions. They have 330 runs batted in in addition to 685 base knocks for the year, and their team batting average sits at .256. The Blue Jays have recorded 134 doubles as a team and have smacked 81 balls out of the park. They have accounted for 344 runs and hold an OBP of .326. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.4 runs/g, which has them at 14th in the league.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.20 this season (21st in the league), and they have struck out 706 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have surrendered 107 home runs in addition to 351 total runs (19th in the league). Their pitching staff has walked 253 opposing hitters and their FIP is 4.28 as a unit on the campaign. Toronto has relinquished 629 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 328 earned runs. They have a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.79 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.25.

The Blue Jays relievers have accumulated a save rate of 63.9% and have come into the game in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 111 runners so far this year and 29.7% of them ended up crossing the plate. Blue Jays pitchers have stepped onto the hill with opponents on base 80 times as well as having 73 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 271 relievers to the hill for the year. The relievers have accumulated 41 holds for the season (22nd in baseball). They have recorded 23 saves for the year and have not converted 13 of their 36 chances to get a save.

The Blue Jays have turned 70.6% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,333 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 10th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have 2,111 putouts this season, in addition to 609 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding rate sits at .987 which is 14th in pro baseball, and they have turned 55 double plays.

Berrios (102-80 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.98 while facing 6,300 opposing batters in the majors. He has allowed 1,396 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has had 453 free passes. His ERA is 4.04 (673 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.233. Berrios has taken the hill for 1,500 innings and has earned 1,424 K's in his pro baseball career.

Boston has compiled 98 home runs for the year as well as 363 RBIs. They have hit 149 two-baggers, while getting a free base 275 times and notching 381 runs. The Boston Red Sox have accounted for an on-base percentage of .320 and a batting average of .247 over the course of the season. The Red Sox hold a slugging percentage of .412 and they have an average of 4.65 runs per outing (9th in the league). They have been called out on strikes on 766 instances (3rd in the league) and have earned a total of 697 base hits.

The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.324 and have a FIP of 3.91 as a team so far this season. They rank 22nd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits allowed with 690. The Boston pitching staff have yielded 374 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 3.97 (324 earned runs relinquished). They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.60 (700 strikeouts against 282 walks). They have relinquished 82 long balls and they concede 4.58 runs per 9 innings (21st in the league).

With 83 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 42 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. Boston has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 39 save opportunities and they have walked away with 22 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 110 times in high leverage situations and on 83 occasions with base runners. Boston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 109 inherited runners. They sit at 23rd in MLB holding a save rate of 56.4%, and they have sent 270 relief pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

The Boston Red Sox have turned 72 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .977 (29th in baseball). The Red Sox have recorded 748 assists, 69 errors and have earned a total of 2,204 putouts on the campaign. In their 6,612 innings played, the Red Sox have a defensive efficiency of 68.1% (26th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Bello has surrendered 460 hits while he has accumulated 391 strikeouts in 441 innings. He has given up a total of 209 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.416 and a FIP of 4.2. His K/BB ratio is 2.37 and he has faced 1,922 opposing batters thus far in his career. Bello (31-29 win-loss record in his career) is the owner of a 4.26 earned run average while allowing 9.4 hits per nine innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+220)

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