Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox Prediction, 6/29/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Boston Red Sox

Date: Sunday, June 29, 2025

Location: Fenway Park in Boston, MA

TV: NESN

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-275) Boston (+220)

The Boston Red Sox (40-42) host the Toronto Blue Jays (43-37) at Fenway Park on Sunday. The moneyline on this contest has the Blue Jays at -275 and the Red Sox are priced at +220. The total is set at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Eric Lauer and Walker Buehler.

Toronto has a slugging percentage of .398 and have been called out on strikes 543 times, while drawing a walk on 259 occasions. They have 334 RBI's in addition to 691 base knocks this year, and their batting average is at .256. The Blue Jays have hit 134 doubles as a unit and have knocked 81 baseballs out of the stadium. They have accumulated 350 runs and hold an on-base percentage of .325. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are scoring 4.4 runs per game, which has them at 14th in MLB.

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The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.14 so far this year (20th in baseball), and they have struck out 713 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have yielded 107 long balls and 351 runs in total (17th in baseball). They have walked 255 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.26 as a unit on the year. Toronto has given up 631 base hits (8.0 per 9 innings) and also 328 earned runs. They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and the pitching staff sits with a WHIP of 1.24.

The Blue Jays have dispatched 272 relievers to the hill this year. The relief pitchers have inherited 111 runners for the year and 29.7% of those players ended up scoring. They have earned 23 saves for the season and have blown 13 of their 36 chances to get a save. The Blue Jays relievers have a save rate of 63.9% and have come into the game in 78 save situations. The relief pitchers are sitting with 41 holds on the campaign (22nd in the league). Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 80 times in addition to having 73 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,138 putouts on the year, as well as 611 assists and 37 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them ranked 14th in MLB, and have accumulated 55 double plays. The Blue Jays have transformed 70.9% of balls hit into play into outs out of 6,414 innings on the diamond, which ranks them 8th in baseball.

Lauer (40-38 career record) has earned a FIP of 4.11 and he has gone up against 2,738 batters during his time in the majors. He has surrendered 612 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 244 walks. His earned run average is 4.17 (295 ER's allowed) and his WHIP is 1.345. Lauer has thrown 636 innings and has totaled 608 punch outs so far in his career.

The Red Sox hold a team slugging percentage of .412 and they are earning 4.65 runs per outing (9th in MLB). They have hit 149 two-baggers, while taking a walk 275 times and scoring 381 runs. Boston has knocked in 98 home runs for the year and 363 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 766 instances (3rd in baseball) and have 697 hits. The Boston Red Sox have earned a team OBP of .320 and a batting average of .247 this season.

The Boston pitching staff have conceded 374 runs this season while having a team ERA of 3.97 (324 earned runs conceded). They have surrendered 82 home runs and they relinquish 4.58 runs per 9 innings (22nd in MLB). The Red Sox have a team WHIP of 1.324 in addition to having a FIP of 3.91 as a unit on the year. Their K/BB ratio sits at 8.60 (700 strikeouts vs 282 bases on balls). They come in at 22nd in the league as a staff in total hits given up with 690.

Sitting with 83 save situations, the Red Sox have accrued 42 holds and also 17 blown saves. Boston has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 39 save opportunities and they have tallied 22 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 110 times in high leverage situations in addition to 83 occasions with runners on base. Boston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 33.0% out of their 109 inherited base runners. They are ranked 23rd in the league holding a save percentage of 56.4%, and they have sent 270 relievers to the mound so far this year.

In their 6,612 innings played, the Red Sox have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (26th in MLB). The Boston Red Sox have gotten 72 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .977 (29th in MLB). The Red Sox have recorded 748 assists, 69 errors and have a tally of 2,204 putouts on the campaign.

In his pro baseball career, Buehler has conceded 658 base hits while he has totaled 810 strikeouts in 776 innings pitched. Buehler (52-27 career win-loss mark) has earned a 3.51 ERA while allowing 7.6 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 303 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.130 and being the owner of a FIP of 3.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.70 and he has faced 3,191 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Boston (+220)

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