Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians Prediction, 6/26/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Cleveland Guardians

Date: Thursday, June 26, 2025

Location: Progressive Field in Cleveland, OH

TV: CLEGuardians.TV

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-144) Cleveland (+120)

The Toronto Blue Jays (42-36) are en route to Progressive Field on Thursday where they will meet the Cleveland Guardians (39-38). The moneyline on this contest has Toronto at -144 while Cleveland is sitting at +120. The over/under comes in at 8. The pitchers who are expected to start are Kevin Gausman and Tanner Bibee.

The Blue Jays have tallied 132 two-baggers as a unit and have hit 79 baseballs out of the park. Toronto is slugging .401 and have been called out on strikes 520 times, while drawing a walk on 246 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.3 runs per outing, which is 14th in baseball. They have accrued 317 RBI's in addition to 664 hits for the season, while their team batting average is at .256. They have 330 runs while holding a team OBP of .324.

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The Blue Jays are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.17 so far this year (20th in baseball), and they have struck out 690 batters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 103 long balls and 340 total runs (19th in baseball). Their pitching staff has walked 241 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.24 as a unit this season. Toronto has given up 611 base knocks (8.0 per 9 innings) and 318 earned runs. They have accrued a K/BB ratio of 2.86 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.24.

The Blue Jays relievers have recorded a save percentage of 65.7% and have entered the game in 76 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 109 runners this year and 28.4% of them ended up scoring. Blue Jays pitchers have entered the game with runners on 78 times and also have had 69 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 262 relievers to the hill over the course of the season. The bullpen have accumulated 40 holds on the year (23rd in baseball). They have accumulated 23 saves on the season and have blown 12 of 35 chances to get a save.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a tally of 2,057 putouts this season, as well as 590 assists and 35 errors. Their fielding percentage sits at .987 which has them sitting 11th in MLB, and have accumulated 51 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 70.7% of balls in play into outs out of their 6,171 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting at 10th in the majors.

Gausman (107-108 career mark) holds a FIP of 3.82 while facing 7,559 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 1,753 hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) and has had 509 free passes. His earned run average is 3.88 (777 ER's allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.254. Gausman has pitched in 1,804 frames and has 1,849 K's during his pro baseball career.

The Cleveland Guardians have tallied a team on-base percentage of .300 and a team batting average of .230 so far this season. They have been called out on strikes on 625 instances (19th in MLB) and have notched a total of 570 base knocks. Cleveland has tallied 75 long balls for the year and 271 RBIs. The Guardians have a SLG% of .370 and they score 3.76 runs per game (25th in the league). They have put up 109 doubles, while taking a walk 232 times and putting up 286 runs.

The Guardians have a WHIP of 1.367 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.03 as a pitching staff over the course of the season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 8.60 (639 strikeouts against 275 walks). They rank 15th in baseball as a staff in total hits surrendered with 638. They have given up 78 homers and they give up 4.16 runs per 9 innings (12th in the league). The Cleveland pitching staff have relinquished 309 runs over the course of the season while holding a team ERA of 3.84 (285 earned runs surrendered).

Cleveland bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 36.0% out of their 86 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill 74 times in high leverage situations and on 61 occasions with runners on. Sitting with 90 save situations, the Guardians have recorded 59 holds in addition to 7 blown saves. They rank 1st in the league with a save rate of 76.7%, and they have dispatched 254 bullpen pitchers to the hill for the year. Cleveland has called on relievers to step onto the mound in 30 save opportunities and they have tallied 23 saves.

The Cleveland Guardians have turned 64 double plays and have accounted for a fielding rate of .981 (28th in the majors). The Guardians have racked up 602 assists, 50 errors and have accumulated 2,005 putouts on the campaign. Out of their 6,015 innings on the field, the Guardians have earned a efficiency on defense of 68.1% (26th in pro baseball).

During his career, Bibee has allowed 355 base knocks and he has 403 K's in 403 innings. He has given up a total of 152 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.165 and a FIP of 3.3. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.50 and he has faced 1,664 opposing hitters during his MLB career. Bibee (26-19 career mark) has a 3.39 earned run average while giving up 7.9 hits per 9 innings.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Parlay's Pundit's Pick: Take Cleveland (+120) and under 8 runs

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