Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins Prediction, 8/22/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Miami Marlins

Date: Friday, August 22, 2025

Location: loanDepot park in Miami, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Florida

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-150) Miami (+125)

The Toronto Blue Jays (74-54) are hitting the road to loanDepot park on Friday where they will attempt to beat the Miami Marlins (60-67). The moneyline on this matchup has Toronto at -150 while Miami opens at +125. The betting total comes in at 8. The pitchers expected to start will be Shane Bieber and Janson Junk.

The Blue Jays have tallied 227 doubles as a unit and have hit 148 balls out of the park. Toronto has a slugging rate of .429 and have been rung up 848 times, while taking a walk on 413 occasions. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 4.9 runs/g, which has them sitting at 7th in the league. They have amassed 593 runs batted in as well as 1,155 hits this year, while their batting average is at .268. They have notched a total of 617 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .338.

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They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.75 and their pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have allowed 170 home runs in addition to 567 total runs (22nd in the league). Toronto has surrendered 1,008 base hits (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 526 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.24 so far this year (22nd in the league), and their staff has struck out 1,111 batters. Their pitching staff has walked 404 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.36 as a squad on the campaign.

Blue Jays relief pitchers have stepped onto the hill with runners on base 129 times as well as having 125 appearances in high leverage situations. The bullpen have a total of 75 holds so far this season (11th in baseball). The Blue Jays bullpen have compiled a save rate of 64.8% and have entered the game in 132 save situations. They have earned 35 saves so far this season and have missed out on 19 of 54 save opportunities. The relief pitchers have inherited 188 base runners over the course of the season with 29.8% of them ended up scoring. The Blue Jays have sent 434 relief pitchers to the hill over the course of the season.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 3,350 putouts thus far, in addition to 939 assists and 70 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding steady at .984 which puts them in 24th in pro baseball, and they have turned 88 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 70.4% of balls hit into play into outs out of 10,050 innings, which ranks them 12th in professional baseball.

Bieber (62-32 career record) sits with a FIP of 3.18 while he has gone up against 3,415 opposing hitters during his time in the major leagues. He has allowed 752 hits (8.0 hits per 9 innings) and has 188 free passes. His earned run average is 3.22 (302 earned runs allowed) and his WHIP is 1.115. Bieber has thrown 843 innings and has totaled 958 strikeouts so far in his career.

The Marlins have a team SLG% of .397 and they are scoring 4.31 runs per outing (19th in baseball). They have recorded 210 doubles, while walking 376 times as well as putting up 539 runs. Miami has compiled 123 home runs on the season to go along with 517 RBIs. They have struck out on 978 occasions (25th in MLB) and have earned 1,072 base hits. The Miami Marlins have accounted for a team OBP of .315 and a batting average of .251 on the year.

The Marlins have a WHIP of 1.301 and have a FIP of 4.15 as a team over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 22nd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,053. The Miami pitching staff have given up 602 runs this year while holding a team ERA of 4.55 (559 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio is 8.00 (985 strikeouts vs 386 walks). They have relinquished 137 dingers and they yield 4.90 runs per 9 innings (24th in MLB).

Miami has had bullpen pitchers take the mound in 49 save opportunities and they have earned 30 saves. They are currently ranked 19th in baseball holding a save rate of 61.2%, and they have sent 385 bullpen pitchers onto the field for the year. Their relievers have come in 132 times in high leverage situations and also on 93 occasions with base runners. Miami bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 31.2% out of their 138 inherited base runners. With 116 save situations, the Marlins have amassed 66 holds and 19 blown saves.

The Miami Marlins have gotten 84 double plays and hold a fielding percentage of .986 (19th in MLB). The Marlins have 1,063 assists, 62 errors and have a tally of 3,319 putouts during this campaign. In 9,957 innings played, the Marlins have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 69.8% (15th in baseball).

During his career, Junk has allowed 143 base hits while accumulating 92 punch outs in 122 innings pitched. Junk (7-5 career mark) has earned a 4.94 ERA while conceding 10.5 hits per nine innings. He has conceded a total of 67 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.335 and a FIP of 4.9. He has a K/BB ratio of 4.60 and he has faced 521 opposing hitters during his MLB career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Miami (+125)

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