Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees Prediction, 9/5/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs New York Yankees

Date: Friday, September 5, 2025

Location: Yankee Stadium in Bronx, NY

TV: YES

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-196) New York (+162)

The Toronto Blue Jays (81-59) are hitting the road to Yankee Stadium on Friday where they will take on the New York Yankees (77-62). The odds on this game have the Blue Jays at -196 and the Yankees are at +162. The betting total is set at 9. The starting pitchers are Kevin Gausman and Cam Schlittler.

Toronto has a slugging % of .435 and have struck out 949 times, while being walked on 457 occasions. They have accrued 678 RBI's as well as 1,291 hits this year, while their batting average is .270. The Blue Jays have accrued 254 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 173 balls out of the stadium. They have accumulated 704 runs while holding a team OBP of .339. As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are notching 5.0 runs/g, which has them at 4th in baseball.

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The Blue Jays hold a team earned run average of 4.28 this season (21st in MLB), and they have struck out 1,244 hitters. Blue Jays pitchers have conceded 189 home runs in addition to 642 runs in total (21st in MLB). Their pitching staff has walked 441 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.34 as a unit so far this year. Toronto has relinquished 1,143 hits (8.3 per 9 innings) as well as 591 earned runs. Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.82 and the pitching staff holds a collective WHIP of 1.27.

The Blue Jays bullpen have earned a save percentage of 62.9% and have entered the game in 153 save situations. The relief pitchers have inherited 215 runners so far this year and 30.2% of those players ended up crossing the plate. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 150 times as well as having 142 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 489 relievers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have 86 holds so far this year (9th in the league). They have recorded 39 saves so far this year and have blown 23 of 62 chances to get a save.

The Blue Jays have converted 69.8% of baseballs in play into outs in their 11,187 innings, which has them sitting 16th in the majors. The Toronto Blue Jays have accumulated 3,729 putouts this year, as well as 1,067 assists and 80 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them ranked 25th in pro baseball, and have a total of 100 double plays.

Gausman has taken the ball for 1,878 frames and has accounted for 1,922 K's during his MLB career. His ERA is 3.83 (800 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.243. He has surrendered 1,806 base hits (8.7 hits per nine innings) with 528 free passes. Gausman (110-112 career win-loss mark) sits with a FIP of 3.78 while facing 7,856 opposing hitters during his time in the majors.

New York has 239 home runs for the year and 706 runs batted in. They have hit 225 doubles, while taking a walk 543 times and putting up 733 runs. The New York Yankees hold an OBP of .331 in addition to a team batting average of .251 for the year. The Yankees have a team slugging percentage of .458 and they tally 5.27 runs per game (1st in the league). They have struck out on 1,233 instances (6th in the league) and have recorded 1,184 base hits.

The New York pitching staff have yielded 594 runs this year and come in with a team ERA of 3.93 (539 earned runs relinquished). They have surrendered 150 HR's and they give up 4.33 runs per 9 innings (13th in the league). The Yankees have a team WHIP of 1.258 in addition to having a FIP of 4.00 as a pitching staff this season. They currently have a strikeout to walk ratio of 9.10 (1,243 strikeouts against 484 free passes). They rank 3rd in MLB as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 1,069.

New York bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of their 224 inherited base runners. Their relief pitchers have taken the field 143 times in high leverage situations and on 147 occasions with runners on. With 140 save situations, the Yankees have earned 83 holds and 21 blown saves. They sit at 16th in baseball with a save percentage of 62.5%, and they have dispatched 459 relief pitchers to the mound for the year. New York has called on relievers to enter the game in 56 save chances and they have come away with 35 saves.

The New York Yankees have turned 95 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .985 (21st in professional baseball). The Yankees have accrued 1,194 assists, 77 errors and are sitting with 3,704 putouts for the year. In 11,112 innings played, the Yankees have a defensive efficiency of 70.6% (9th in MLB).

So far in his pro baseball career, Schlittler has surrendered 40 hits while he has tallied 54 punch outs in 48 innings pitched. Schlittler (2-2 career record) holds a 2.62 ERA while conceding 7.5 hits per 9 innings. He has surrendered a total of 14 ER's while earning a WHIP of 1.247 and being the owner of a FIP of 2.6. His K/BB ratio is 2.70 and he has faced 199 opposing batters during his pro baseball career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-196)

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