Toronto Blue Jays vs Sacramento Athletics Prediction, 7/11/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Sacramento Athletics
Date: Friday, July 11, 2025
Location: Sutter Health Park in Sacramento, CA
TV: NBC Sports California
Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-130) Sacramento (+110)
The Sacramento Athletics (37-55) will go up against the Toronto Blue Jays (53-38) at Sutter Health Park on Friday. The moneyline on this matchup has the Blue Jays at -130 while the Athletics are sitting at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Max Scherzer and Luis Severino.


The Blue Jays have hit 150 two-baggers as a unit and have smacked 97 balls out of the stadium. Toronto has a slugging percentage of .404 and have struck out 609 times, while being walked on 307 occasions. As a squad, the Toronto Blue Jays are putting up 4.6 runs per game, which has them at 9th in MLB. They have accounted for 402 RBI's as well as 795 base knocks this year, and their average at the plate is at .258. They have accounted for 420 runs while holding a team OBP of .329.
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Their strikeout to walk ratio sits at 2.69 and the pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.27. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 118 home runs and 404 runs in total (21st in baseball). Toronto has given up 733 base knocks (8.1 per 9 innings) as well as 377 earned runs. The Blue Jays have compiled a team earned run average of 4.17 over the course of the season (22nd in the league), and they have struck out 813 batters. They have walked 302 players from the other team and their FIP sits at 4.26 as a unit this season.
The Blue Jays have sent 313 relief pitchers to the mound so far this season. The relievers have inherited 133 base runners for the year with 30.8% of them ended up scoring. They have recorded 28 saves so far this season and have blown 17 of their 45 chances to save the game. The Blue Jays bullpen have a save rate of 62.2% and have entered the game in 100 save situations. The relievers have earned 54 holds so far this season (12th in the league). Blue Jays relief pitchers have entered the game with runners on base 95 times in addition to having 92 appearances in high leverage situations.
The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 2,441 putouts this year, in addition to 687 assists and 44 errors. Their fielding rate is holding at .986 which is 16th in baseball, and have earned 65 double plays. The Blue Jays have turned 70.3% of balls hit into play into outs out of 7,323 innings on the field, which has them ranked 14th in pro baseball.
Scherzer has taken the hill for 2,895 frames and is sitting with 3,423 K's so far in his MLB career. Scherzer (216-112 win-loss mark in his career) has earned a FIP of 3.12 while going up against 11,699 opposing batters during his time in the major leagues. His earned run average is 3.17 (1,019 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.079. He has given up 2,363 hits (7.3 hits per 9 innings) and has 762 walks.
The Sacramento Athletics have a team on-base percentage of .316 and a batting average of .248 so far this season. They have been rung up on 778 occasions (12th in the league) and have notched a total of 776 base hits. Sacramento is sitting with 113 HRs this year as well as 371 runs batted in. The Athletics hold a team slugging % of .412 and they average 4.17 runs per contest (20th in baseball). They have recorded 151 doubles, while getting a free base 298 times as well as putting up 384 runs.
The Sacramento pitching staff have conceded 524 runs for the year while having a team ERA of 5.32 (482 earned runs given up). They have surrendered 135 HR's and they concede 5.79 runs per 9 innings (29th in baseball). The Athletics have a team WHIP of 1.472 and are the owners of a FIP of 4.90 as a unit for the season. They currently have a K/BB ratio of 8.10 (731 strikeouts against 343 free passes). They come in at 29th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits given up with 857.
Sacramento bullpen pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 31.3% out of 150 inherited runners. Their bullpen pitchers have taken the field 92 times in high leverage situations and also on 105 occasions with runners on. With 76 save situations, the Athletics have 38 holds in addition to 17 blown saves. They rank 24th in baseball holding a save rate of 55.3%, and they have sent 294 bullpen pitchers to the hill this year. Sacramento has called on relievers to enter the game in 38 save chances and they have come away with 21 saves.
The Sacramento Athletics have turned 58 double plays and have earned a fielding percentage of .981 (27th in professional baseball). The Athletics have racked up 673 assists, 62 errors and have accumulated 2,445 putouts on the season. Out of their 7,335 innings played, the Athletics have a defensive efficiency of 68.0% (28th in the majors).
So far in his career, Severino has given up 928 base knocks while he has accumulated 1,022 K's in 1,017 innings. Severino (67-54 career mark) is the owner of a 3.97 earned run average and has allowed 8.2 hits per nine innings. He has surrendered 449 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.218 and a FIP of 3.9. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 3.29 and he has gone up against 4,267 hitters so far in his career.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Josh Schonwald's Pick: Take Toronto (-130)
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Additional Resources:
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