Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays Prediction, 9/15/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Toronto Blue Jays vs Tampa Bay Rays

Date: Monday, September 15, 2025

Location: George M. Steinbrenner Field in Tampa, FL

TV: FanDuel Sports Network Sun

Odds/Point Spread: Toronto (-132) Tampa Bay (+110)

George M. Steinbrenner Field is the location where the Tampa Bay Rays (72-74) will attempt to beat the Toronto Blue Jays (84-62) on Monday. The moneyline on this game has the Blue Jays at -132 and the Rays open at +110. The over/under has been set at 9. The expected starting pitchers will be Jose Berrios and Ryan Pepiot.

As a team, the Toronto Blue Jays are compiling 5.0 runs per contest, which has them sitting at 4th in the league. They have 727 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .337. The Blue Jays have recorded 267 doubles as a team and have hit 176 baseballs out of the park. They have 702 runs batted in and 1,337 hits for the season, and their team batting average sits at .268. Toronto is slugging .432 and have been called out on strikes 988 times, while drawing a walk on 475 occasions.

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They have accumulated a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and the pitching staff has a collective WHIP of 1.26. Blue Jays pitchers have given up 194 home runs and also 656 total runs (19th in the league). Toronto has relinquished 1,175 base hits (8.2 per 9 innings) as well as 603 earned runs. The Blue Jays are sitting with a team earned run average of 4.19 this season (19th in the league), and the staff has struck out 1,292 batters. They have walked 461 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.32 as a unit on the season.

The Blue Jays relief pitchers have compiled a save rate of 62.9% and stepped onto the hill in 153 save situations. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 224 base runners for the year with 29.5% of those players crossed home plate. Blue Jays bullpen pitchers have gone to the mound with opponents on base 156 times and also have had 144 appearances in high leverage situations. The Blue Jays have sent 505 relief pitchers to the mound so far this year. The relievers have notched 86 holds over the course of the season (11th in the league). They have 39 saves over the course of the season and have not converted 23 of their 62 save chances.

The Toronto Blue Jays have a total of 3,888 putouts this year, in addition to 1,120 assists and 81 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .984 which has them sitting 22nd in the majors, and they have turned 104 double plays. The Blue Jays have converted 70.2% of balls hit into play into outs in their 11,664 innings on the field, which has them sitting at 11th in professional baseball.

Berrios (108-82 career record) is the owner of a FIP of 4.00 while he has faced 6,579 batters in the major leagues. He has surrendered 1,468 base hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) and has 469 free passes. His earned run average is 4.07 (707 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.238. Berrios has taken the ball for 1,565 innings and has tallied 1,478 strikeouts thus far in his career.

The Rays have a team SLG% of .403 and they score 4.49 runs per contest (14th in MLB). They have 219 doubles, while taking a walk 418 times and racking up 655 runs. Tampa Bay has 166 long balls over the course of the season to go along with 623 RBIs. They have been rung up on 1,246 occasions (12th in the league) and have notched a total of 1,239 hits. The Tampa Bay Rays have recorded an OBP of .313 and a batting average of .252 on the year.

The Rays have a team WHIP of 1.207 with a FIP of 4.16 as a staff on the campaign. They sit at 6th in baseball as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 1,141. The Tampa Bay pitching staff have allowed 604 runs so far this year while holding an ERA of 3.88 (557 earned runs conceded). Their K/BB ratio comes in at 8.90 (1,279 strikeouts vs 419 walks). They have conceded 187 dingers and they concede 4.21 runs per 9 innings (9th in baseball).

Tampa Bay has called on bullpen pitchers to enter the contest in 58 save opportunities and they have come away with 33 saves. They are ranked 25th in MLB with a save percentage of 56.9%, and they have sent 465 bullpen pitchers to the hill on the campaign. Their relief pitchers have stepped onto the mound 139 times in high leverage situations in addition to 102 occasions with runners on. Tampa Bay bullpen pitchers hold an inherited score rate of 32.0% out of their 150 inherited base runners. Sitting with 141 save situations, the Rays have compiled 81 holds in addition to 25 blown saves.

The Tampa Bay Rays have gotten 132 double plays and have notched a fielding percentage of .987 (12th in the majors). The Rays have racked up 1,274 assists, 69 errors and have amassed 3,877 putouts for the season. Out of their 11,631 innings played, the Rays have a efficiency on defense of 70.8% (6th in MLB).

In his pro baseball career, Pepiot has given up 282 hits and he has 383 K's in 371 innings pitched. Pepiot (24-19 win-loss record in his career) has earned a 3.42 earned run average while surrendering 6.8 hits per 9 innings. He has given up 141 earned runs while earning a WHIP of 1.129 and having a FIP of 3.4. He has a K/BB ratio of 2.80 and he has faced 1,512 hitters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Tony Sink's Pick: Take Toronto (-132)

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