Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles Prediction, 5/17/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Baltimore Orioles

Date: Saturday, May 17, 2025

Location: Oriole Park at Camden Yards in Baltimore, MD

TV: MASN

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (-182) Baltimore (+150)

The Washington Nationals (18-26) are hitting the road to Oriole Park at Camden Yards on Saturday where they will attempt to beat the Baltimore Orioles (15-26). The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals at -182 and the Orioles are priced at +150. The over/under has been set at 9. The starting pitchers will be Jake Irvin and Kyle Gibson.

As a unit, the Washington Nationals are recording 4.1 runs per outing, which has them sitting at 19th in the league. They have accounted for 181 runs scored while holding a team on-base percentage of .308. The Nationals have earned 64 two-baggers as a squad and have knocked 42 baseballs out of the park. They have accounted for 171 runs batted in in addition to 349 base knocks so far this season, while their team batting average comes in at .239. Washington owns a slugging percentage of .378 and have been called out on strikes 347 times, while being walked on 131 occasions.

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Their strikeout to walk ratio is 2.15 and their pitching staff has earned a collective WHIP of 1.46. Nationals pitchers have relinquished 44 home runs and 238 runs in total (28th in baseball). Washington has conceded 395 base knocks (9.3 per 9 innings) in addition to 230 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team earned run average of 5.39 this year (28th in the league), and they have rung up 353 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 164 opposing batters and their FIP is 4.27 as a team over the course of the season.

The Nationals have dispatched 149 relievers to the mound on the season. The relievers have inherited 89 base runners on the year and 47.2% of those players crossed home plate. They have tallied 13 saves this season and have blown 6 of their 19 chances to save the game. The Nationals relief pitchers have earned a save percentage of 68.4% and have stepped onto the mound in 37 save situations. The bullpen have racked up 18 holds this season (26th in baseball). Nationals pitchers have entered the game with opponents on base 50 times in addition to having 32 appearances in high leverage situations.

The Washington Nationals have accounted for 1,152 putouts over the course of the season, in addition to 368 assists and 18 errors. Their fielding percentage is at .988 which has them ranked 10th in pro baseball, and they have turned 28 double plays. The Nationals have turned 67.6% of baseballs in play into outs out of their 3,456 innings on the field, ranking them 27th in the majors.

Irvin has taken the ball for 362 innings and has accumulated 289 strikeouts so far in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.42 (178 earned runs allowed) and he has a career WHIP of 1.273. He has allowed 339 hits (8.4 hits per nine innings) with 122 walks. Irvin (15-22 win-loss mark in his career) holds a FIP of 4.36 and he has faced 1,522 hitters in the majors.

Baltimore has recorded 49 long balls so far this season to go along with 147 runs batted in. They have recorded 52 doubles, while taking a walk 119 times and racking up 156 runs. The Baltimore Orioles have a team OBP of .296 as well as a batting average of .227 on the season. The Orioles have a team slugging percentage of .384 and they tally 3.80 runs per game (24th in MLB). They have struck out on 360 occasions (13th in MLB) and have accounted for 304 base hits.

The Baltimore pitching staff have conceded 226 runs so far this year while holding a team ERA of 5.37 (212 earned runs given up). They have given up 63 homers and they yield 5.73 runs per 9 innings (28th in MLB). The Orioles are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.493 with a FIP of 5.02 as a team on the campaign. They have earned a strikeout to walk ratio of 7.70 (303 strikeouts against 143 free passes). They come in at 26th in the league as a staff in total hits conceded with 387.

Sitting with 37 save situations, the Orioles have accumulated 25 holds in addition to 2 blown saves. Baltimore has had relief pitchers take the mound in 9 save chances and they have earned 7 saves. Their bullpen pitchers have come in 31 times in high leverage situations and on 47 occasions with runners on base. Baltimore relief pitchers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.0% out of 63 inherited runners. They rank 2nd in baseball with a save rate of 77.8%, and they have dispatched 142 bullpen pitchers onto the diamond for the season.

In 3,195 innings played, the Orioles are sitting with a defensive efficiency of 67.7% (26th in pro baseball). The Baltimore Orioles have turned 33 double plays and have a fielding percentage of .985 (18th in baseball). The Orioles have accrued 376 assists, 22 errors and have 1,065 putouts for the season.

So far in his pro baseball career, Gibson has surrendered 1,931 hits and he has 1,519 punch outs in 1,876 innings pitched. Gibson (112-110 career mark) has a 4.57 ERA while giving up 9.3 hits per nine innings. He has allowed 953 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.382 and being the owner of a FIP of 4.5. He has a strikeout to walk ratio of 2.29 and he has gone up against 8,060 opposing batters so far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Baltimore (+150)

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