Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/28/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds
Game: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros
Date: Monday, July 28, 2025
Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX
TV: Space City Home Network
Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+110) Houston (-130)
Daikin Park is the site where the Houston Astros (60-43) will go up against the Washington Nationals (41-61) on Monday. The line on this matchup has Washington at +110 and Houston is coming in at -130. The total is 8.5. The pitchers who are expected to start will be Brad Lord and Framber Valdez.


Washington owns a slugging percentage of .389 and have been called out on strikes 779 times, while drawing a walk on 296 occasions. They have accrued 422 runs batted in and 839 base knocks over the course of the season, and their average at the plate sits at .245. The Nationals have hit 167 two-baggers as a unit and have knocked 99 balls out of the park. They have earned 440 runs scored and hold an on-base percentage of .311. As a team, the Washington Nationals are scoring 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 17th in the league.
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They have a K/BB ratio of 2.27 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.41. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 121 home runs and also 550 total runs (28th in baseball). Washington has given up 923 hits (9.3 per 9 innings) as well as 518 earned runs. The Nationals hold a team ERA of 5.20 for the season (29th in MLB), and they have rung up 777 hitters. Their pitching staff has walked 342 players from the other team and their FIP comes in at 4.47 as a team over the course of the season.
Nationals relief pitchers have gone to the mound with players on base 108 times in addition to having 79 appearances in high leverage situations. The relief pitchers have accumulated 41 holds on the year (29th in baseball). The Nationals relievers have a save percentage of 58.8% and have stepped onto the mound in 76 save situations. They have compiled 20 saves for the season and have missed out on 14 of their 34 chances to get a save. The bullpen pitchers have inherited 185 base runners this season with 40.5% of those runners crossed the plate. The Nationals have dispatched 356 relievers to the mound on the year.
The Nationals have converted 68.4% of baseballs in play into outs out of 8,076 innings, which has them ranked 27th in pro baseball. The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,692 putouts on the year, in addition to 866 assists and 51 errors. Their fielding percentage is holding at .986 which puts them in 18th in MLB, and have earned 76 double plays.
Lord (2-5 career win-loss record) has a FIP of 3.34 while he has gone up against 287 batters in the majors. He has surrendered 64 base knocks (8.3 hits per nine innings) with 23 free passes. His earned run average is 3.39 (26 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.261. Lord has pitched in 69 frames and is sitting with 57 strikeouts thus far in his career.
The Astros have a SLG% of .408 and they are scoring 4.38 runs per game (14th in the league). They have put up 155 two-baggers, while taking a walk 301 times as well as racking up 451 runs. Houston is sitting with 115 long balls this season to go along with 429 runs batted in. They have been rung up on 814 occasions (20th in the league) and have recorded 902 base hits. The Houston Astros have a team on-base percentage of .323 and a team batting average of .259 for the year.
The Astros are sitting with a team WHIP of 1.179 and have a FIP of 3.69 as a squad this season. Their strikeout to walk ratio comes in at 9.70 (984 strikeouts vs 304 free passes). They sit at 3rd in the league as a pitching staff in total hits surrendered with 777. They have given up 114 homers and they allow 3.83 runs per 9 innings (3rd in the league). The Houston pitching staff have given up 390 runs on the season while holding a team ERA of 3.60 (367 earned runs surrendered).
With 114 save situations, the Astros have earned 68 holds in addition to 12 blown saves. Houston has called on bullpen pitchers to step onto the mound in 45 save opportunities and they have earned 33 saves. Their relievers have taken the field 107 times in high leverage situations in addition to 73 occasions with runners on base. Houston relief pitchers have an inherited score percentage of 26.5% out of 102 inherited base runners. They are ranked 2nd in the league with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have sent 318 relief pitchers to the hill so far this season.
The Houston Astros have gotten 67 double plays and have a fielding rate of .988 (6th in the majors). The Astros have racked up 808 assists, 44 errors and have earned a total of 2,751 putouts on the season. Out of their 8,253 innings on the diamond, the Astros have a defensive efficiency of 70.7% (10th in the majors).
During his career, Valdez has given up 843 hits while earning 995 strikeouts in 1,016 innings. He has conceded a total of 364 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.187 and a FIP of 3.2. His strikeout to walk ratio is 2.74 and he has faced 4,200 hitters during his career. Valdez (79-45 career record) has a 3.22 earned run average and has allowed 7.5 hits per 9 innings.
Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?
Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-130)
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Additional Resources:
Houston Astros - Twitter
Washington Nationals - Twitter