Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros Prediction, 7/30/2025 MLB Picks, Best Bets & Odds

Game: Washington Nationals vs Houston Astros

Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025

Location: Daikin Park in Houston, TX

TV: Space City Home Network

Odds/Point Spread: Washington (+162) Houston (-196)

The Washington Nationals (44-62) are en route to Daikin Park on Wednesday where they will meet the Houston Astros (60-47). The moneyline on this contest has the Nationals at +162 and the Astros are coming in at -196. The over/under is 9. The pitchers taking the mound will be MacKenzie Gore and Ryan Gusto.

As a squad, the Washington Nationals are earning 4.3 runs per contest, which has them at 17th in baseball. They have earned 458 runs while holding a team on-base percentage of .310. The Nationals have hit 173 doubles as a squad and have hit 103 balls out of the stadium. They have accounted for 439 runs batted in and 869 base knocks for the season, and their batting average sits at .244. Washington has a slugging rate of .389 and have struck out 824 times, while taking a walk on 307 occasions.

Get all of our MLB Betting Picks

They have a K/BB ratio of 2.28 and the pitching staff has a team WHIP of 1.40. Nationals pitchers have surrendered 122 home runs in addition to 557 total runs (28th in baseball). Washington has conceded 949 hits (9.2 per 9 innings) and 525 earned runs. The Nationals are sitting with a team earned run average of 5.07 this year (29th in baseball), and the staff has struck out 801 hitters. They have walked 352 opposing players and their FIP comes in at 4.41 as a team so far this season.

The Nationals relievers have accumulated a save rate of 60.0% and have entered the game in 80 save situations. The relievers have inherited 189 base runners for the season and 39.7% of those players ended up scoring. Nationals bullpen pitchers have entered the contest with runners on base 110 times as well as having 83 appearances in high leverage situations. The Nationals have sent 369 relievers to the hill this season. The relievers have a total of 44 holds on the year (29th in the league). They have earned 21 saves for the season and have blown 14 out of their 35 save opportunities.

The Washington Nationals have a total of 2,797 putouts on the year, in addition to 906 assists and 52 errors. Their fielding percentage is currently at .986 which is 15th in MLB, and they have turned 82 double plays. The Nationals have turned 68.6% of balls hit into play into outs in their 8,391 innings on the diamond, which has them sitting 28th in the majors.

Gore has thrown 489 frames and is sitting with 548 strikeouts in his pro baseball career. His ERA is 4.05 (220 earned runs allowed) and he has a WHIP of 1.389. He has given up 477 base knocks (8.8 hits per nine innings) with 203 walks. Gore (25-36 career win-loss record) sits with a FIP of 3.99 and he has faced 2,113 opposing hitters in the major leagues.

The Astros have a slugging percentage of .403 and they tally 4.27 runs per contest (19th in MLB). They have put up 163 two-baggers, while taking a walk 311 times and recording 457 runs. Houston has a total of 116 home runs so far this year as well as 435 RBIs. They have been called out on strikes on 844 occasions (22nd in baseball) and are sitting with 923 base hits. The Houston Astros hold an on-base percentage of .321 in addition to a batting average of .256 so far this year.

The Astros have a WHIP of 1.189 and are the owners of a FIP of 3.76 as a unit over the course of the season. They are currently ranked 5th in baseball as a staff in total hits allowed with 815. The Houston pitching staff have conceded 419 runs on the season while holding an ERA of 3.71 (393 earned runs given up). Their strikeout to walk ratio is 9.80 (1,034 strikeouts vs 318 bases on balls). They have surrendered 125 long balls and they allow 3.96 runs per 9 innings (5th in the league).

Sitting with 114 save situations, the Astros have accrued 68 holds and 12 blown saves. Houston has had bullpen pitchers enter the contest in 45 save opportunities and they have walked away with 33 saves. Their relievers have stepped onto the mound 108 times in high leverage situations and also on 74 occasions with runners on. Houston relievers hold an inherited score percentage of 27.2% out of 103 inherited base runners. They sit at 2nd in MLB with a save rate of 73.3%, and they have sent 331 relievers onto the diamond on the campaign.

In their 8,577 innings on the diamond, the Astros have accumulated a defensive efficiency of 70.5% (10th in baseball). The Houston Astros have turned 68 double plays and own a fielding percentage of .988 (9th in pro baseball). The Astros have accrued 835 assists, 46 errors and have amassed 2,859 putouts this year.

During his MLB career, Gusto has allowed 91 hits while he has tallied 82 K's in 80 innings pitched. Gusto (6-4 record in his career) holds a 5.18 earned run average while giving up 10.2 hits per 9 innings. He has allowed 46 earned runs while holding a WHIP of 1.475 and a FIP of 5.1. His strikeout to walk ratio is 3.04 and he has gone up against 357 opposing batters thus far in his career.

Who will win tonight's MLB game against the spread or moneyline?

Guy Bruhn's Pick: Take Houston (-196)

Get $60 worth of FREE premium member picks. No Obligation. No Salesman. No Credit Card. Fast Sign up with Instant Access Click Here